{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ffa250f-d7ac-4bc5-9ea8-59bf39c91766", "symbol": "CENTA", "name": "Central Garden & Pet Company A", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.308, "architecture_energy": 43.361, "architecture_maturity": 61.184, "architecture_confidence": 76.051, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.51, "rotation_up": 51.16, "upward_expansion": 78.88, "deceleration": 65.72, "rotation_down": 24.22, "downward_expansion": 5.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.426667, 38.294909, 37.023238, 36.004409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 39.06, "trend_reference": 34.651333, "distance_from_trend": 0.127229, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.990968, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.18396, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.682385, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.146127, "excess_performance": -0.041327, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.127229, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088489, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.18396, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126505, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.046824, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150212, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.146127, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.170007, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1869329, "relative_activity": 1.184099, "balance": 2.170007, "dry_up": 0.903949, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060934, "annualized_volatility": 0.228955, "from_high_reference": -0.04253, "from_low_reference": 0.504043 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.651333, "fair_value_reference": 32.990968, "structural_low": 30.79, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.014179, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.016951, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.094929, "worst_return": -0.180216, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.0626, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.10628, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.084459, "worst_return": -0.206944, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.089941, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.161866, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.145452, "worst_return": -0.200929, "sufficient": false }, { 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32.49275, "relative_strength": -12.534726, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.697091, "energy": 30.751554, "activity_lines": [ 34.118667, 34.002909, 33.518238, 32.828559 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 35.31, "volume": 1559403, "typical_volume": 1434641.65, "trend": 32.065, "fair_value": 32.536737, "relative_strength": -4.909846, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.955593, "energy": 35.812354, "activity_lines": [ 34.552, 34.298909, 33.739714, 33.052796 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 37.77, "volume": 1656184, "typical_volume": 1475851.05, "trend": 32.371, "fair_value": 32.591929, "relative_strength": -0.390878, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.588706, "energy": 60.345508, "activity_lines": [ 35.683333, 34.990909, 34.166762, 33.42086 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 37.78, "volume": 1827675, "typical_volume": 1490092.65, "trend": 32.655667, "fair_value": 32.65216, "relative_strength": -2.709743, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.154898, "energy": 69.217422, "activity_lines": [ 36.582667, 35.571455, 34.554095, 33.769828 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 39.32, "volume": 3572177, "typical_volume": 1568969.25, "trend": 32.935, "fair_value": 32.717237, "relative_strength": 6.104491, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.16695, "energy": 79.874026, "activity_lines": [ 37.718667, 36.347818, 35.054238, 34.199785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 38.43, "volume": 1310912, "typical_volume": 1572123.2, "trend": 33.201333, "fair_value": 32.780455, "relative_strength": 2.991349, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.220718, "energy": 77.274488, "activity_lines": [ 38.241333, 36.880909, 35.444667, 34.554301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 37.53, "volume": 1454121, "typical_volume": 1584537.05, "trend": 33.437667, "fair_value": 32.830468, "relative_strength": -0.735866, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.751859, "energy": 68.298804, "activity_lines": [ 38.177333, 37.183455, 35.72819, 34.83357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 38.29, "volume": 1321830, "typical_volume": 1595605.0, "trend": 33.745333, "fair_value": 32.880686, "relative_strength": 6.034984, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.309704, "energy": 54.874739, "activity_lines": [ 38.218667, 37.550545, 36.073143, 35.146624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.45, "volume": 1263044, "typical_volume": 1602817.45, "trend": 34.040333, "fair_value": 32.932186, "relative_strength": 8.552325, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.833305, "energy": 44.62154, "activity_lines": [ 38.278667, 37.873091, 36.415476, 35.450151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.91, "volume": 1254032, "typical_volume": 1613081.5, "trend": 34.338667, "fair_value": 32.95725, "relative_strength": 6.790218, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.339453, "energy": 37.725492, "activity_lines": [ 38.114, 38.009818, 36.678333, 35.699806 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.06, "volume": 1869329, "typical_volume": 1578693.2, "trend": 34.651333, "fair_value": 32.990968, "relative_strength": 4.682385, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.308059, "energy": 43.360547, "activity_lines": [ 38.426667, 38.294909, 37.023238, 36.004409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }