{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5ffe438d-8505-48fb-a877-0c98fc35828a",
    "symbol": "000698",
    "name": "Shenyang Chemical Co., Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -41.037,
    "architecture_energy": 29.163,
    "architecture_maturity": 76.707,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.223,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.51,
        "rotation_up": 27.14,
        "upward_expansion": 16.66,
        "deceleration": 46.89,
        "rotation_down": 29.01,
        "downward_expansion": 61.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.276,
        3.228,
        3.35481,
        3.492022
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 3.42,
    "trend_reference": 3.653,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.063783,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.658013,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.065066,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.422171,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.177885,
    "excess_performance": -0.185284,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063783,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046463,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065066,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.10015,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124222,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078489,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.177885,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.542107,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16251871,
      "relative_activity": 0.729814,
      "balance": 0.542107,
      "dry_up": 0.776418,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.068376,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.337646,
      "from_high_reference": -0.24,
      "from_low_reference": 0.171233
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.653,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.658013,
      "structural_low": 2.92,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.003279,
        "positive_rate": 0.482759,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.517241,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005977,
        "regime_survival": 0.793103,
        "best_return": 0.27451,
        "worst_return": -0.169761,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.02451,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": 0.031385,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.494163,
        "worst_return": -0.237383,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.064302,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.059956,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.272727,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.076056,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033077,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.050998,
        "worst_return": -0.196078,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.092652,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 29777301.85,
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        "fair_value": 3.675256,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.17,
        "volume": 16935092,
        "typical_volume": 26616015.35,
        "trend": 3.676667,
        "fair_value": 3.668846,
        "relative_strength": -17.228749,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.518934,
        "energy": 49.036572,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.168,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.27,
        "volume": 15733575,
        "typical_volume": 23917777.15,
        "trend": 3.661,
        "fair_value": 3.662949,
        "relative_strength": -12.552483,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.217751,
        "energy": 42.541861,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.208,
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          3.50757
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.42,
        "volume": 16251871,
        "typical_volume": 22268507.55,
        "trend": 3.653,
        "fair_value": 3.658013,
        "relative_strength": -12.422171,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.037419,
        "energy": 29.162797,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.276,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}