{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6001b8f1-5739-4a14-8f17-bb8760e99ba9",
    "symbol": "GRN",
    "name": "UOB APAC Green REIT ETF SGD",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 70.56,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 6.365,
    "architecture_energy": 21.531,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.818,
    "architecture_confidence": 49.175,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.63,
        "rotation_up": 45.65,
        "upward_expansion": 35.96,
        "deceleration": 35.81,
        "rotation_down": 17.38,
        "downward_expansion": 44.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.715867,
        0.711673,
        0.708752,
        0.710661
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.72,
    "trend_reference": 0.716912,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.004308,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.678729,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.060806,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -17.359437,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.02563,
    "excess_performance": -0.180465,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004308,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018283,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060806,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007693,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.173594,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064477,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02563,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.669831,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 118857,
      "relative_activity": 1.965776,
      "balance": 0.669831,
      "dry_up": 1.467894,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015598,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.101432,
      "from_high_reference": -0.070032,
      "from_low_reference": 0.054173
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.716912,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.678729,
      "structural_low": 0.683,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.008722,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004413,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.01898,
        "worst_return": -0.020468,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.04845,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037821,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.052631,
        "worst_return": 0.044269,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.093982,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018764,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.158811,
        "worst_return": 0.029154,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.060874,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.109743,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.060874,
        "worst_return": 0.060874,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.054783,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02029,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.010234,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.033626,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083453,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.047987,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038461,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037148,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.051707,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.105626,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.020708,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014085,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 81775.45,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 31.882963,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 60597.05,
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        "relative_strength": -14.336561,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 61516.95,
        "trend": 0.721473,
        "fair_value": 0.677442,
        "relative_strength": -17.677451,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.760975,
        "energy": 23.737692,
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          0.704733,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.715,
        "volume": 74934,
        "typical_volume": 62060.5,
        "trend": 0.720381,
        "fair_value": 0.677736,
        "relative_strength": -16.388671,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -20.742502,
        "energy": 14.161565,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.708,
          0.7054,
          0.706033,
          0.711195
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.71,
        "volume": 123968,
        "typical_volume": 60617.35,
        "trend": 0.718959,
        "fair_value": 0.677964,
        "relative_strength": -17.768848,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.369112,
        "energy": 11.005194,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.708933,
          0.706491,
          0.706278,
          0.710525
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.719,
        "volume": 37255,
        "typical_volume": 57397.25,
        "trend": 0.717935,
        "fair_value": 0.678352,
        "relative_strength": -16.889378,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 1.6008,
        "energy": 11.308033,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.712533,
          0.709164,
          0.707476,
          0.710528
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.72,
        "volume": 118857,
        "typical_volume": 60463.15,
        "trend": 0.716912,
        "fair_value": 0.678729,
        "relative_strength": -17.359437,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 6.364738,
        "energy": 21.530754,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.715867,
          0.711673,
          0.708752,
          0.710661
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}