{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "600c4992-ce19-4bd3-888a-b3178bc2c1bc",
    "symbol": "SLVD",
    "name": "BetaPro Silver -2x Daily Bear ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 56.551,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.39,
    "architecture_energy": 41.919,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.316,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.302,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.78,
        "rotation_up": 53.79,
        "upward_expansion": 76.51,
        "deceleration": 63.58,
        "rotation_down": 18.1,
        "downward_expansion": 5.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        37.808667,
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        34.114238,
        32.56815
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 32.82,
    "trend_reference": 31.267333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.049658,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 440.861153,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.925555,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -68.488586,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.025534,
    "excess_performance": -0.145956,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049658,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.424954,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.925555,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028334,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.684886,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.190825,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025534,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.273723,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 366200,
      "relative_activity": 0.721772,
      "balance": 3.273723,
      "dry_up": 0.775333,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.157995,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.98854,
      "from_high_reference": -0.88948,
      "from_low_reference": 0.783696
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.267333,
      "fair_value_reference": 440.861153,
      "structural_low": 18.96,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.080936,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.11058,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.225754,
        "worst_return": -0.16975,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.156906,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.133787,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.053232,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.398965,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.48238,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.440516,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.544994,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "start": "2022-12-09",
        "end": "2023-02-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 782622.65,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 723774.5,
        "trend": 34.928667,
        "fair_value": 463.745769,
        "relative_strength": -69.773981,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.739251,
        "energy": 53.353014,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.818666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 43.049999,
        "volume": 471300,
        "typical_volume": 650657.0,
        "trend": 33.707667,
        "fair_value": 458.458653,
        "relative_strength": -64.200462,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 55.0289,
        "energy": 73.335881,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.262666,
          35.957272,
          32.397095,
          31.657656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 39.619999,
        "volume": 373300,
        "typical_volume": 589610.75,
        "trend": 32.705667,
        "fair_value": 453.001858,
        "relative_strength": -65.354932,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.188044,
        "energy": 61.733444,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.769999,
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          33.241143,
          32.039097
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.950001,
        "volume": 362700,
        "typical_volume": 557163.85,
        "trend": 31.864,
        "fair_value": 447.202564,
        "relative_strength": -62.684515,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.942532,
        "energy": 68.472327,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.978666,
          38.159818,
          34.047952,
          32.506473
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 32.82,
        "volume": 366200,
        "typical_volume": 507362.6,
        "trend": 31.267333,
        "fair_value": 440.861153,
        "relative_strength": -68.488586,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.389624,
        "energy": 41.91875,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.808667,
          37.607818,
          34.114238,
          32.56815
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}