{ "ticker": { "uuid": "600e4397-88f5-4d3c-84c3-10a5327c3bd0", "symbol": "BABAN", "name": "Alibaba Group Holding Limited", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -18.36, "architecture_energy": 23.563, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 69.089, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.42, "rotation_up": 38.34, "upward_expansion": 21.79, "deceleration": 44.15, "rotation_down": 19.17, "downward_expansion": 55.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 2092.392651, 1994.048078, 2052.67642, 2136.727465 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2203.25, "trend_reference": 2296.680542, "distance_from_trend": -0.040681, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1995.442873, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.104141, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.23633, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.215445, "excess_performance": -0.160778, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.040681, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111785, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.104141, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127258, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152363, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005034, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.215445, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.162452, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18215, "relative_activity": 0.868324, "balance": 1.162452, "dry_up": 0.980445, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079298, "annualized_volatility": 0.412186, "from_high_reference": -0.375496, "from_low_reference": 0.354179 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2296.680542, "fair_value_reference": 1995.442873, 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.001192, "energy": 26.323388, "activity_lines": [ 2012.081982, 1948.390674, 2044.89326, 2143.855091 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2203.25, "volume": 18215, "typical_volume": 20977.2, "trend": 2296.680542, "fair_value": 1995.442873, "relative_strength": -15.23633, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.359775, "energy": 23.563135, "activity_lines": [ 2092.392651, 1994.048078, 2052.67642, 2136.727465 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }