{ "ticker": { "uuid": "600fa32e-15a7-4d56-9cc0-dc3230fa90d6", "symbol": "2373", "name": "Aurora Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 80.218, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.124, "architecture_energy": 11.226, "architecture_maturity": 12.05, "architecture_confidence": 74.652, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.34, "rotation_up": 24.4, "upward_expansion": 52.17, "deceleration": 87.1, "rotation_down": 30.62, "downward_expansion": 20.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.599999, 53.775421, 53.773911, 53.535969 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 53.299999, "trend_reference": 53.091214, "distance_from_trend": 0.003933, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 57.301849, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.069838, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.975941, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.049342, "excess_performance": -0.39203, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003933, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004888, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.069838, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031253, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.289759, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055131, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.049342, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.25536, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 121033, "relative_activity": 0.564463, "balance": 1.25536, "dry_up": 0.9089, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029236, "annualized_volatility": 0.096867, "from_high_reference": -0.058304, "from_low_reference": 0.055172 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.091214, "fair_value_reference": 57.301849, "structural_low": 50.700172, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.024846, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.028674, "worst_return": -0.041312, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.003662, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.051252, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.023214, "worst_return": -0.069988, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.036063, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.059067, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.007373, "worst_return": -0.071189, "sufficient": 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53.371372 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.0, "volume": 229392, "typical_volume": 222354.4, "trend": 52.988748, "fair_value": 57.489284, "relative_strength": -27.252011, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.678135, "energy": 18.384663, "activity_lines": [ 54.029889, 54.052009, 53.777922, 53.438682 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.0, "volume": 261989, "typical_volume": 220322.75, "trend": 53.03638, "fair_value": 57.429619, "relative_strength": -25.457478, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.312677, "energy": 18.750838, "activity_lines": [ 54.02, 54.048259, 53.829841, 53.503924 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.299999, "volume": 167137, "typical_volume": 217115.1, "trend": 53.066915, "fair_value": 57.365467, "relative_strength": -27.357634, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.349195, "energy": 12.516893, "activity_lines": [ 53.8, 53.901459, 53.80428, 53.520931 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 53.299999, "volume": 121033, "typical_volume": 214421.5, "trend": 53.091214, "fair_value": 57.301849, "relative_strength": -28.975941, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.124473, "energy": 11.225598, "activity_lines": [ 53.599999, 53.775421, 53.773911, 53.535969 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }