{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6010d65b-6097-41e6-9142-d4262e2643c6", "symbol": "COIN", "name": "Coinbase Global, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.541, "architecture_energy": 48.699, "architecture_maturity": 27.282, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.21, "rotation_up": 17.57, "upward_expansion": 8.73, "deceleration": 43.61, "rotation_down": 51.9, "downward_expansion": 77.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 131.502666, 134.472363, 142.521048, 146.959161 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 131.559998, "trend_reference": 153.158334, "distance_from_trend": -0.14102, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 193.132051, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.318808, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.227148, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.032363, "excess_performance": -0.206609, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.14102, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157911, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.318808, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.185565, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.472271, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05687, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.032363, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.514799, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4214, "relative_activity": 1.148119, "balance": 0.514799, "dry_up": 1.430381, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124693, "annualized_volatility": 0.669911, "from_high_reference": -0.619659, "from_low_reference": 0.109649 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 153.158334, "fair_value_reference": 193.132051, 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"energy": 42.81421, "activity_lines": [ 139.615999, 143.196364, 150.366381, 154.017312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 135.960007, "volume": 5314, "typical_volume": 3542.05, "trend": 160.471667, "fair_value": 192.175512, "relative_strength": -46.565014, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.18743, "energy": 44.08461, "activity_lines": [ 138.428002, 140.936729, 148.592858, 152.278732 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 138.759995, "volume": 6146, "typical_volume": 3649.3, "trend": 158.307, "fair_value": 192.50391, "relative_strength": -44.862536, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.035837, "energy": 33.267591, "activity_lines": [ 138.466667, 139.660728, 147.15781, 150.877979 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 121.68, "volume": 5326, "typical_volume": 3646.45, "trend": 155.674667, "fair_value": 192.767436, "relative_strength": -50.617889, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.866495, "energy": 45.645432, "activity_lines": [ 133.076001, 135.790182, 144.249048, 148.514946 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 131.559998, "volume": 4214, "typical_volume": 3670.35, "trend": 153.158334, "fair_value": 193.132051, "relative_strength": -47.227148, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.540803, "energy": 48.698765, "activity_lines": [ 131.502666, 134.472363, 142.521048, 146.959161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }