{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60217b54-0338-404d-a678-c9dbc56e856a", "symbol": "SNDR", "name": "Schneider National Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.978, "architecture_energy": 37.51, "architecture_maturity": 74.545, "architecture_confidence": 70.271, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.8, "rotation_up": 42.44, "upward_expansion": 71.04, "deceleration": 64.56, "rotation_down": 25.63, "downward_expansion": 12.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.448, 36.541154, 35.338501, 33.482368 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 35.63, "trend_reference": 31.429629, "distance_from_trend": 0.133644, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.927912, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.374195, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.393049, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.216871, "excess_performance": 0.091246, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.133644, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.142244, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.374195, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.15643, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.13393, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053392, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.216871, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.043588, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4128382, "relative_activity": 0.821231, "balance": 2.043588, "dry_up": 1.024965, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07749, "annualized_volatility": 0.326273, "from_high_reference": -0.092051, "from_low_reference": 0.790131 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.429629, "fair_value_reference": 25.927912, "structural_low": 23.139803, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.017947, "positive_rate": 0.590909, "directional_follow_through": 0.590909, "median_excess_return": 0.022338, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.183034, "worst_return": -0.130258, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.025934, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.028864, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.181806, "worst_return": -0.08682, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.079201, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.034886, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.268557, "worst_return": -0.123589, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 37.61, "volume": 3786592, "typical_volume": 5192150.95, "trend": 30.899998, "fair_value": 25.850245, "relative_strength": 26.318849, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.456143, "energy": 53.210513, "activity_lines": [ 37.193333, 36.848369, 34.745635, 32.884202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.74, "volume": 5517128, "typical_volume": 5118040.65, "trend": 31.19843, "fair_value": 25.889001, "relative_strength": 18.21622, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.654121, "energy": 46.429324, "activity_lines": [ 36.820667, 36.726822, 35.076095, 33.19646 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.63, "volume": 4128382, "typical_volume": 5027065.9, "trend": 31.429629, "fair_value": 25.927912, "relative_strength": 13.393049, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.978418, "energy": 37.510207, "activity_lines": [ 36.448, 36.541154, 35.338501, 33.482368 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }