{ "ticker": { "uuid": "602990f2-ead1-4983-8384-7354e75481da", "symbol": "OLAELEC", "name": "OLA ELECTRIC MOBILITY LTD", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.174, "architecture_energy": 24.054, "architecture_maturity": 67.572, "architecture_confidence": 89.104, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.64, "rotation_up": 25.93, "upward_expansion": 57.77, "deceleration": 87.83, "rotation_down": 34.49, "downward_expansion": 21.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.465333, 40.575273, 40.186715, 37.90499 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 41.07, "trend_reference": 35.338, "distance_from_trend": 0.162205, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 55.517714, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.260236, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.903361, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.295584, "excess_performance": 0.339293, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.162205, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02068, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.260236, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113427, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.029034, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.124773, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.295584, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.648392, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 405095301, "relative_activity": 0.861836, "balance": 1.648392, "dry_up": 0.559759, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086531, "annualized_volatility": 0.730263, "from_high_reference": -0.423579, "from_low_reference": 0.845843 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.338, "fair_value_reference": 55.517714, "structural_low": 22.25, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.082551, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.127202, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.15218, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019162, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.049231, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.107605, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 91.199997, "volume": 525179173, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 133.080002, "volume": 1074642553, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 126.260002, "volume": 780667123, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": 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"activity_lines": [ 39.162, 40.689091, 39.875524, 37.531807 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.07, "volume": 405095301, "typical_volume": 470037511.7, "trend": 35.338, "fair_value": 55.517714, "relative_strength": 2.903361, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.173678, "energy": 24.054432, "activity_lines": [ 39.465333, 40.575273, 40.186715, 37.90499 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }