{ "ticker": { "uuid": "602a1830-99af-4e4f-9f4c-872718004328", "symbol": "6114", "name": "Juic International Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.897, "architecture_energy": 64.929, "architecture_maturity": 13.106, "architecture_confidence": 84.584, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.0, "rotation_up": 10.3, "upward_expansion": 14.34, "deceleration": 37.42, "rotation_down": 70.98, "downward_expansion": 90.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.128864, 27.955538, 28.738633, 29.135704 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 27.1, "trend_reference": 29.741809, "distance_from_trend": -0.088825, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.262144, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.160006, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.358586, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.138401, "excess_performance": -0.579774, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.088825, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021961, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.160006, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092261, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.363586, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037818, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.138401, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.223678, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 67015, "relative_activity": 0.237187, "balance": 1.223678, "dry_up": 0.509919, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077965, "annualized_volatility": 0.299589, "from_high_reference": -0.199587, "from_low_reference": 0.084 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.741809, "fair_value_reference": 32.262144, "structural_low": 25.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.008715, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": 0.000439, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.27673, "worst_return": -0.085586, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.055252, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.11459, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.385737, "worst_return": -0.039039, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.05988, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.020297, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.689723, "worst_return": -0.073573, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.152251, "energy": 26.401549, "activity_lines": [ 29.330118, 29.493978, 29.667992, 29.904593 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.429516, "volume": 116982, "typical_volume": 286447.2, "trend": 30.143026, "fair_value": 32.306899, "relative_strength": -35.842413, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.728561, "energy": 34.167115, "activity_lines": [ 28.643153, 29.096074, 29.447416, 29.722141 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.35, "volume": 257010, "typical_volume": 287289.65, "trend": 29.992548, "fair_value": 32.300222, "relative_strength": -36.476262, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.376348, "energy": 65.830532, "activity_lines": [ 27.720658, 28.54561, 29.137581, 29.47743 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.450001, "volume": 135286, "typical_volume": 284042.9, "trend": 29.854202, "fair_value": 32.299056, "relative_strength": -34.33735, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.56117, "energy": 64.378562, "activity_lines": [ 27.32185, 28.261167, 28.948397, 29.313395 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 27.1, "volume": 67015, "typical_volume": 282541.35, "trend": 29.741809, "fair_value": 32.262144, "relative_strength": -36.358586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.897395, "energy": 64.929221, "activity_lines": [ 27.128864, 27.955538, 28.738633, 29.135704 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }