{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60339f13-d647-4424-bfa6-8de9257c2766", "symbol": "GGR", "name": "Gogoro Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 88.466, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -58.129, "architecture_energy": 79.329, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.411, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.76, "rotation_up": 16.05, "upward_expansion": 25.56, "deceleration": 43.01, "rotation_down": 77.02, "downward_expansion": 64.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.938667, 3.325091, 3.623857, 3.662654 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.55, "trend_reference": 3.624633, "distance_from_trend": -0.296481, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.333128, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.860908, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -46.826746, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.15, "excess_performance": -0.337454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.296481, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00403, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.860908, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033065, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.468267, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164044, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.15, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.604135, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 68678, "relative_activity": 1.142951, "balance": 0.604135, "dry_up": 1.032451, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.16133, "annualized_volatility": 0.87541, "from_high_reference": -0.663588, "from_low_reference": 0.007905 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.624633, "fair_value_reference": 18.333128, "structural_low": 2.53, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.119706, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.172968, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.102941, "worst_return": -0.136471, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.134529, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.226438, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.067647, "worst_return": -0.201412, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.110588, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.220153, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.009412, "worst_return": -0.211765, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.210841, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.258333, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.094118, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.149864, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.227468, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.266165, "active": false }, { "regime": 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3.929333, 3.949636, 3.954714, 3.831312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.43, "volume": 41660, "typical_volume": 66610.45, "trend": 3.6583, "fair_value": 19.489667, "relative_strength": -30.910515, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -6.891575, "energy": 13.117729, "activity_lines": [ 3.762, 3.852182, 3.909786, 3.816174 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.5, "volume": 52271, "typical_volume": 60539.45, "trend": 3.658967, "fair_value": 19.103128, "relative_strength": -26.615088, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.58133, "energy": 35.285091, "activity_lines": [ 3.646, 3.778182, 3.870048, 3.805961 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.53, "volume": 85544, "typical_volume": 59791.95, "trend": 3.6423, "fair_value": 18.712936, "relative_strength": -45.931375, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -51.757736, "energy": 70.069971, "activity_lines": [ 3.24, 3.536364, 3.743452, 3.733125 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.55, "volume": 68678, "typical_volume": 60088.3, "trend": 3.624633, "fair_value": 18.333128, "relative_strength": -46.826746, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -58.129202, "energy": 79.328883, "activity_lines": [ 2.938667, 3.325091, 3.623857, 3.662654 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }