{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6033f7a0-0398-4dba-9fc3-b149534f7aa2", "symbol": "PEXIP", "name": "Pexip Holding ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.495, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.9, "architecture_energy": 47.584, "architecture_maturity": 48.912, "architecture_confidence": 71.161, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.31, "rotation_up": 46.43, "upward_expansion": 76.98, "deceleration": 64.48, "rotation_down": 28.8, "downward_expansion": 12.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 80.32, 79.963636, 77.691131, 74.170148 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 81.5, "trend_reference": 70.74971, "distance_from_trend": 0.151948, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.500694, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.873533, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.128059, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.180561, "excess_performance": 0.055567, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.151948, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075608, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.873533, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.242838, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.091281, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063225, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.180561, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.458249, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 357555, "relative_activity": 0.454857, "balance": 0.458249, "dry_up": 0.523548, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050496, "annualized_volatility": 0.436949, "from_high_reference": -0.051222, "from_low_reference": 0.588549 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 70.74971, "fair_value_reference": 43.500694, "structural_low": 55.925888, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.02284, "positive_rate": 0.633333, "directional_follow_through": 0.633333, "median_excess_return": 0.014102, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.396766, "worst_return": -0.140975, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.025944, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.019523, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.36254, "worst_return": -0.142473, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.291802, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.255876, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.495935, "worst_return": 0.071733, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.427721, "energy": 72.206853, "activity_lines": [ 81.133332, 79.316362, 75.455378, 72.32843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 76.900002, "volume": 414457, "typical_volume": 1057555.95, "trend": 70.071503, "fair_value": 42.68696, "relative_strength": 4.351049, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.173001, "energy": 58.665044, "activity_lines": [ 80.14, 79.032727, 76.029137, 72.781836 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 80.5, "volume": 469223, "typical_volume": 1000668.45, "trend": 70.409658, "fair_value": 43.091443, "relative_strength": 8.521369, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.849453, "energy": 47.141265, "activity_lines": [ 80.233333, 79.438181, 76.860695, 73.454642 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 81.5, "volume": 357555, "typical_volume": 786081.65, "trend": 70.74971, "fair_value": 43.500694, "relative_strength": 9.128059, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.900299, "energy": 47.584498, "activity_lines": [ 80.32, 79.963636, 77.691131, 74.170148 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }