{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60362d37-f72c-47c2-a011-61caa3e59481", "symbol": "EPRE", "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi FTSE EPRA Europe Real Estate UCITS ETF-C", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 51.152, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 38.707, "architecture_energy": 56.085, "architecture_maturity": 10.302, "architecture_confidence": 58.844, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.17, "rotation_up": 70.13, "upward_expansion": 63.74, "deceleration": 19.3, "rotation_down": 18.73, "downward_expansion": 19.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 346.006665, 342.819115, 337.949076, 336.839857 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 346.899994, "trend_reference": 337.198949, "distance_from_trend": 0.028769, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 318.924888, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.087717, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.518685, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.008055, "excess_performance": -0.045257, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.028769, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012558, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.087717, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033489, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025187, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006051, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.008055, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.248916, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 240, "relative_activity": 0.332249, "balance": 4.248916, "dry_up": 0.432962, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025316, "annualized_volatility": 0.209818, "from_high_reference": -0.054948, "from_low_reference": 0.140893 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 337.198949, "fair_value_reference": 318.924888, "structural_low": 304.059998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.081932, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.091779, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.004564, "worst_return": -0.09528, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.07142, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.087504, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.002577, "worst_return": -0.140262, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.077601, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.101176, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.010939, "worst_return": -0.144263, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 31.559272, "activity_lines": [ 338.629331, 334.724909, 332.818361, 334.225466 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 343.950012, "volume": 299, "typical_volume": 839.5, "trend": 335.554553, "fair_value": 317.532003, "relative_strength": 0.733052, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.759545, "energy": 46.932563, "activity_lines": [ 341.150002, 336.864961, 333.841924, 334.812866 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 345.100006, "volume": 526, "typical_volume": 802.0, "trend": 336.230373, "fair_value": 317.968221, "relative_strength": 0.6971, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.819541, "energy": 52.673135, "activity_lines": [ 343.253337, 338.961398, 335.077924, 335.428702 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 348.149994, "volume": 186, "typical_volume": 736.85, "trend": 336.946706, "fair_value": 318.44783, "relative_strength": 0.037073, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.732301, "energy": 58.334773, "activity_lines": [ 345.080001, 341.160991, 336.614712, 336.19771 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 346.899994, "volume": 240, "typical_volume": 722.35, "trend": 337.198949, "fair_value": 318.924888, "relative_strength": -2.518685, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.706623, "energy": 56.085318, "activity_lines": [ 346.006665, 342.819115, 337.949076, 336.839857 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }