{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6037d9b6-7ee1-4ace-8dd7-476704dbdcc0", "symbol": "IRTC", "name": "iRhythm Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -2.602, "architecture_energy": 3.304, "architecture_maturity": 15.298, "architecture_confidence": 72.773, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 69.43, "rotation_up": 25.01, "upward_expansion": 26.49, "deceleration": 44.11, "rotation_down": 27.1, "downward_expansion": 48.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 118.224667, 117.032455, 116.412595, 118.457473 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 127.84, "trend_reference": 124.899833, "distance_from_trend": 0.02354, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 116.7325, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.095153, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.572526, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.127193, "excess_performance": -0.314647, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02354, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.140177, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.095153, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055949, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.245725, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104234, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.127193, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.035478, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4892095, "relative_activity": 1.827525, "balance": 1.035478, "dry_up": 1.153001, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105941, "annualized_volatility": 0.443363, "from_high_reference": -0.396981, "from_low_reference": 0.267678 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 124.899833, "fair_value_reference": 116.7325, "structural_low": 100.8458, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.045923, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.026328, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.32982, "worst_return": -0.338385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.107152, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.212023, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.393536, "worst_return": -0.366778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.115395, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.241884, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.094574, "worst_return": -0.318947, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 2747547.8, "trend": 132.910833, "fair_value": 116.562756, "relative_strength": -33.838441, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.442105, "energy": 16.838508, "activity_lines": [ 117.746, 115.630091, 116.593548, 121.928183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 110.88, "volume": 2694905, "typical_volume": 2720985.25, "trend": 130.801167, "fair_value": 116.608654, "relative_strength": -33.643666, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.760651, "energy": 19.197447, "activity_lines": [ 116.052667, 114.826, 115.923762, 120.506839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 109.2, "volume": 1722362, "typical_volume": 2574228.55, "trend": 128.5545, "fair_value": 116.647115, "relative_strength": -33.17075, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.890344, "energy": 21.223172, "activity_lines": [ 113.984, 113.894273, 115.202881, 119.113215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 117.17, "volume": 3036498, "typical_volume": 2589215.4, "trend": 126.6195, "fair_value": 116.659103, "relative_strength": -27.938633, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.62153, "energy": 24.092395, "activity_lines": [ 114.268667, 114.498909, 115.309571, 118.378731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 127.84, "volume": 4892095, "typical_volume": 2676896.1, "trend": 124.899833, "fair_value": 116.7325, "relative_strength": -24.572526, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.602055, "energy": 3.30414, "activity_lines": [ 118.224667, 117.032455, 116.412595, 118.457473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }