{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6040b71e-3f44-49ba-9c6a-f5e5f9e0be5b",
    "symbol": "BSHSL",
    "name": "Bombay Super Hybrid Seeds Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 85.003,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -20.56,
    "architecture_energy": 30.599,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.13,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.346,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 39.58,
        "rotation_up": 19.88,
        "upward_expansion": 19.18,
        "deceleration": 55.81,
        "rotation_down": 56.62,
        "downward_expansion": 48.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        88.090667,
        88.918182,
        91.639809,
        91.273635
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 91.0,
    "trend_reference": 91.147667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.00162,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 160.494551,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.433003,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.157214,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.007634,
    "excess_performance": 0.036076,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00162,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058359,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.433003,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013663,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.111572,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002882,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007634,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.29142,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 39119,
      "relative_activity": 0.100988,
      "balance": 0.29142,
      "dry_up": 0.063109,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057117,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.499708,
      "from_high_reference": -0.393333,
      "from_low_reference": 0.538201
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 91.147667,
      "fair_value_reference": 160.494551,
      "structural_low": 59.16,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.037798,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020036,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.086644,
        "worst_return": -0.037226,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.145445,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.192922,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.10954,
        "worst_return": -0.193525,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.1556,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.217121,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.073332,
        "worst_return": -0.175528,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.303536,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.562602,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.303536,
        "worst_return": -0.303536,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2022-08-26",
        "end": "2023-03-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 4.97391,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-03-10",
        "end": "2023-06-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.394411,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-06-23",
        "end": "2023-07-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.130639,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-07-14",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.091187,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-02-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.081279,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.043388,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.138721,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.293691,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.105064,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031884,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.194683,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.112376,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.022472,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.070588,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 251.449997,
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        "typical_volume": 124662.3,
        "trend": 341.646666,
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        "fair_value": 182.852692,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 419180.8,
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 412188.75,
        "trend": 97.678334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -7.730258,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 393209.65,
        "trend": 93.347334,
        "fair_value": 165.543269,
        "relative_strength": -16.296273,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 89.0,
        "volume": 19267,
        "typical_volume": 391359.7,
        "trend": 92.961667,
        "fair_value": 164.204167,
        "relative_strength": -14.458796,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.768496,
        "energy": 49.967184,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.252,
          91.164364,
          92.719143,
          92.149592
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 87.0,
        "volume": 18496,
        "typical_volume": 389615.45,
        "trend": 92.175667,
        "fair_value": 162.897756,
        "relative_strength": -13.683121,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.108294,
        "energy": 50.326916,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.364,
          90.098909,
          92.307571,
          91.764968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 85.0,
        "volume": 20902,
        "typical_volume": 388295.0,
        "trend": 91.44,
        "fair_value": 161.637821,
        "relative_strength": -17.035777,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -44.248708,
        "energy": 57.713788,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.014,
          88.853818,
          91.695,
          91.302022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 91.0,
        "volume": 39119,
        "typical_volume": 387361.05,
        "trend": 91.147667,
        "fair_value": 160.494551,
        "relative_strength": -11.157214,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.55962,
        "energy": 30.599196,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.090667,
          88.918182,
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          91.273635
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}