{ "ticker": { "uuid": "604163b7-4827-4053-b2d3-2c1e566afc8d", "symbol": "VISE", "name": "Leverage Shares 2x Visa ETP Securities A", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 88.025, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.157, "architecture_energy": 86.917, "architecture_maturity": 22.64, "architecture_confidence": 74.345, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.17, "rotation_up": 81.31, "upward_expansion": 99.06, "deceleration": 39.49, "rotation_down": 10.73, "downward_expansion": 21.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 70.166667, 67.922727, 63.711667, 61.164409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 71.25, "trend_reference": 58.981667, "distance_from_trend": 0.208002, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 62.983349, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.131251, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.752882, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.192469, "excess_performance": 0.141233, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.208002, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009655, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.131251, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.23485, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.037529, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.263346, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.192469, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.241667, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35, "relative_activity": 1.639344, "balance": 0.241667, "dry_up": 0.526932, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05587, "annualized_volatility": 0.426894, "from_high_reference": -0.053156, "from_low_reference": 0.448171 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.981667, "fair_value_reference": 62.983349, "structural_low": 49.200001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.005719, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": 0.001208, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.25721, "worst_return": -0.111993, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.034601, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.056344, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.270653, "worst_return": -0.090673, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.116274, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.100496, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.291309, "worst_return": -0.159719, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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61.356426, "relative_strength": -22.581678, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.369468, "energy": 23.909037, "activity_lines": [ 55.333333, 53.796364, 54.905, 57.358172 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 58.5, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 34.0, "trend": 60.198333, "fair_value": 61.444728, "relative_strength": -16.372478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.0036, "energy": 19.510241, "activity_lines": [ 56.666667, 54.733636, 55.002857, 57.22871 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 59.5, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": 33.6, "trend": 59.848333, "fair_value": 61.55508, "relative_strength": -16.339222, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.279262, "energy": 22.203804, "activity_lines": [ 57.866667, 55.816364, 55.255476, 57.183656 ] }, { "date": 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14.808098, "activity_lines": [ 57.8, 57.309091, 55.741905, 56.820538 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 58.5, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 32.7, "trend": 58.831667, "fair_value": 61.950529, "relative_strength": -13.540233, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.917009, "energy": 10.321845, "activity_lines": [ 57.9, 57.7, 56.030238, 56.789462 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 62.75, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 31.85, "trend": 58.765, "fair_value": 62.061298, "relative_strength": -7.874364, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.01371, "energy": 28.887087, "activity_lines": [ 59.416667, 58.736364, 56.719762, 57.042258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 70.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 31.65, "trend": 58.99, "fair_value": 62.225881, "relative_strength": 2.822811, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 63.461209, "energy": 73.11208, "activity_lines": [ 63.383333, 61.077273, 58.156905, 57.815484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 65.5, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 30.6, "trend": 58.89, "fair_value": 62.343926, "relative_strength": -2.583523, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.143442, "energy": 69.517701, "activity_lines": [ 64.85, 62.113636, 59.019048, 58.235484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 69.75, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 30.65, "trend": 58.923333, "fair_value": 62.493285, "relative_strength": 3.222403, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.822952, "energy": 88.225963, "activity_lines": [ 67.133333, 63.822727, 60.245476, 58.936129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 68.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.1, "trend": 58.848333, "fair_value": 62.650721, "relative_strength": 1.043761, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.207447, "energy": 85.227731, "activity_lines": [ 68.233333, 65.081818, 61.30881, 59.570108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 71.25, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 20.2, "trend": 58.94, "fair_value": 62.821651, "relative_strength": 3.813567, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.289186, "energy": 87.903184, "activity_lines": [ 69.483333, 66.609091, 62.551905, 60.370215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 71.25, "volume": 35, "typical_volume": 21.35, "trend": 58.981667, "fair_value": 62.983349, "relative_strength": 3.752882, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.157013, "energy": 86.916635, "activity_lines": [ 70.166667, 67.922727, 63.711667, 61.164409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }