{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60495d2c-2ab6-4d6c-817a-3324b892ff2a", "symbol": "4334", "name": "Al Maather Reit Fund", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 50.213, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.491, "architecture_energy": 16.81, "architecture_maturity": 49.165, "architecture_confidence": 84.336, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.35, "rotation_up": 33.85, "upward_expansion": 62.43, "deceleration": 83.55, "rotation_down": 26.31, "downward_expansion": 14.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.992667, 9.002545, 8.979762, 8.955623 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.0, "trend_reference": 8.902816, "distance_from_trend": 0.010916, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.278897, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.087101, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.642669, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.012712, "excess_performance": 0.044542, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010916, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013783, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.087101, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008483, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.036427, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013116, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.012712, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.227004, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 258397, "relative_activity": 2.044592, "balance": 1.227004, "dry_up": 1.118331, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014701, "annualized_volatility": 0.046078, "from_high_reference": -0.019608, "from_low_reference": 0.098394 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.902816, "fair_value_reference": 8.278897, "structural_low": 8.64, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.002153, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.001509, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.04447, "worst_return": -0.042753, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.006772, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.028339, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.076397, "worst_return": -0.067287, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.023025, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.095494, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.094711, "worst_return": -0.020362, "sufficient": true }, { 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8.971619, 8.935307 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.0, "volume": 109092, "typical_volume": 118049.2, "trend": 8.873226, "fair_value": 8.255011, "relative_strength": 4.240413, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.181057, "energy": 40.325874, "activity_lines": [ 9.032667, 9.013091, 8.977048, 8.944557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.93, "volume": 142687, "typical_volume": 118421.55, "trend": 8.88525, "fair_value": 8.266703, "relative_strength": 5.358786, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.028482, "energy": 20.919973, "activity_lines": [ 8.997333, 9.001091, 8.975143, 8.94822 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.0, "volume": 258397, "typical_volume": 126380.7, "trend": 8.902816, "fair_value": 8.278897, "relative_strength": 3.642669, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.490532, "energy": 16.810033, "activity_lines": [ 8.992667, 9.002545, 8.979762, 8.955623 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }