{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "604cc064-d2fb-4ddd-ab27-7a528f2e864a",
    "symbol": "300435",
    "name": "Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -65.266,
    "architecture_energy": 82.738,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.146,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.08,
        "rotation_up": 8.72,
        "upward_expansion": 20.25,
        "deceleration": 37.08,
        "rotation_down": 75.92,
        "downward_expansion": 93.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.161333,
        18.981091,
        20.229506,
        21.864109
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 17.5,
    "trend_reference": 24.137879,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.274998,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 15.836192,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.105064,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -23.638495,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.428079,
    "excess_performance": -0.435479,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.274998,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010698,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105064,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.384061,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.236385,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.138832,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.428079,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.452791,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 66901995,
      "relative_activity": 1.099681,
      "balance": 0.452791,
      "dry_up": 1.195535,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.139838,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.584447,
      "from_high_reference": -0.514886,
      "from_low_reference": 0.150559
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.137879,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.836192,
      "structural_low": 15.21,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.004945,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013766,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.213415,
        "worst_return": -0.245929,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.012472,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020081,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.321757,
        "worst_return": -0.208569,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.021656,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.081029,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.119072,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
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        "return": 0.073307,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.062764,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.021018,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 63879130.95,
        "trend": 24.504984,
        "fair_value": 15.799203,
        "relative_strength": -26.558974,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.1,
        "volume": 46608198,
        "typical_volume": 60950219.8,
        "trend": 24.286568,
        "fair_value": 15.812038,
        "relative_strength": -26.14497,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.598874,
        "energy": 87.814968,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.5,
        "volume": 66901995,
        "typical_volume": 60837657.65,
        "trend": 24.137879,
        "fair_value": 15.836192,
        "relative_strength": -23.638495,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.26649,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}