{ "ticker": { "uuid": "604cccad-4f2b-4f19-abc6-f185aac76766", "symbol": "SRPT", "name": "SAREPTA THERAPEUTICS INC", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -79.195, "architecture_energy": 68.662, "architecture_maturity": 45.078, "architecture_confidence": 92.857, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.38, "rotation_up": 29.51, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 49.42, "rotation_down": 48.92, "downward_expansion": 78.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 289.410004, 290.078184, 309.440002, 322.381077 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 280.230011, "trend_reference": 337.861002, "distance_from_trend": -0.170576, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 704.088058, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.601996, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.916011, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.22374, "excess_performance": -0.169073, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.170576, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0782, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.601996, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11428, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.22916, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128613, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.22374, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1600, "relative_activity": 0.611656, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.152914, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039794, "annualized_volatility": 0.731952, "from_high_reference": -0.377267, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 337.861002, "fair_value_reference": 704.088058, "structural_low": 280.230011, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"close": 294.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 294.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2540.9, "trend": 344.403335, "fair_value": 714.512385, "relative_strength": -19.239831, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.920479, "energy": 68.502443, "activity_lines": [ 294.0, 292.603637, 317.990478, 329.555916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 294.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2537.35, "trend": 341.036668, "fair_value": 709.320874, "relative_strength": -19.649998, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.965639, "energy": 58.577213, "activity_lines": [ 294.0, 291.636364, 314.349525, 326.304087 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 280.230011, "volume": 1600, "typical_volume": 2615.85, "trend": 337.861002, "fair_value": 704.088058, "relative_strength": -22.916011, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.195154, "energy": 68.662329, "activity_lines": [ 289.410004, 290.078184, 309.440002, 322.381077 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }