{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60580f25-4191-477f-a948-08c52fd76b82", "symbol": "MBOT", "name": "Microbot Medical Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.123, "architecture_energy": 37.845, "architecture_maturity": 29.93, "architecture_confidence": 95.969, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.66, "rotation_up": 23.13, "upward_expansion": 4.88, "deceleration": 48.48, "rotation_down": 46.38, "downward_expansion": 75.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.79, 1.804727, 1.875143, 1.977763 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.89, "trend_reference": 2.06, "distance_from_trend": -0.082524, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.785123, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.05875, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.426906, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.073864, "excess_performance": -0.11359, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.082524, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053019, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.05875, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102178, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.304269, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004477, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.073864, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.523397, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2547853, "relative_activity": 0.424162, "balance": 0.523397, "dry_up": 0.43103, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.119158, "annualized_volatility": 0.643963, "from_high_reference": -0.595289, "from_low_reference": 0.181176 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.06, "fair_value_reference": 1.785123, "structural_low": 1.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.008299, "positive_rate": 0.439024, "directional_follow_through": 0.536585, "median_excess_return": -0.028935, "regime_survival": 0.878049, "best_return": 1.495935, "worst_return": -0.332594, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.00716, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.084553, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.642276, "worst_return": -0.611987, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.21595, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.246675, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 1.267182, "worst_return": -0.36198, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.213529, "energy": 39.535859, "activity_lines": [ 1.829333, 1.835636, 1.959619, 2.037161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.71, "volume": 2223277, "typical_volume": 6726538.0, "trend": 2.079667, "fair_value": 1.789867, "relative_strength": -35.112399, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.453744, "energy": 40.712161, "activity_lines": [ 1.787333, 1.812182, 1.921762, 2.012366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.72, "volume": 2504148, "typical_volume": 6221429.65, "trend": 2.066667, "fair_value": 1.786405, "relative_strength": -34.394924, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.000197, "energy": 49.78794, "activity_lines": [ 1.758667, 1.793091, 1.888048, 1.989161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.89, "volume": 2547853, "typical_volume": 6006792.1, "trend": 2.06, "fair_value": 1.785123, "relative_strength": -30.426906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.123375, "energy": 37.844814, "activity_lines": [ 1.79, 1.804727, 1.875143, 1.977763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }