{ "ticker": { "uuid": "606222fc-f734-4e57-a1c5-31b70bcba69a", "symbol": "VAISHALI", "name": "Vaishali Pharma Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.641, "architecture_energy": 50.971, "architecture_maturity": 12.578, "architecture_confidence": 75.725, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.34, "rotation_up": 58.57, "upward_expansion": 83.35, "deceleration": 47.62, "rotation_down": 15.33, "downward_expansion": 10.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.688, 7.587455, 7.437048, 7.286774 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.88, "trend_reference": 7.281333, "distance_from_trend": 0.082219, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.040731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.395739, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.936975, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.003793, "excess_performance": 0.039916, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082219, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061523, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.395739, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051187, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.06937, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144198, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003793, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.914034, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 767692, "relative_activity": 0.842703, "balance": 0.914034, "dry_up": 0.763849, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077411, "annualized_volatility": 0.535728, "from_high_reference": -0.396169, "from_low_reference": 0.658947 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.281333, "fair_value_reference": 13.040731, "structural_low": 4.75, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.038356, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.004734, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.531034, "worst_return": -0.191692, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.05918, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.027354, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.587156, "worst_return": -0.2062, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.144824, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.113714, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.833808, "worst_return": -0.267173, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.042836, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.046352, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.005435, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.177278, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.21494, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.255856, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.070079, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.370996, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.12, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.015464, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 13.105, "volume": 3778030, "typical_volume": 5278489.5, "trend": 13.978833, "fair_value": 7.599776, "relative_strength": -5.595402, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": 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7.386333, "fair_value": 13.160763, "relative_strength": -9.408286, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.014682, "energy": 34.108277, "activity_lines": [ 7.569333, 7.427818, 7.263952, 7.22557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.76, "volume": 303403, "typical_volume": 893555.8, "trend": 7.350667, "fair_value": 13.123263, "relative_strength": -7.330459, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.852487, "energy": 44.256045, "activity_lines": [ 7.65, 7.509091, 7.336048, 7.249677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.35, "volume": 1247929, "typical_volume": 905245.4, "trend": 7.304333, "fair_value": 13.08025, "relative_strength": -13.426011, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.608694, "energy": 35.064442, "activity_lines": [ 7.582667, 7.503273, 7.364238, 7.249634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.88, "volume": 767692, "typical_volume": 910987.4, "trend": 7.281333, "fair_value": 13.040731, "relative_strength": -6.936975, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.641351, "energy": 50.970698, "activity_lines": [ 7.688, 7.587455, 7.437048, 7.286774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }