{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6062260e-ffcf-4b48-a0ae-09f455cf3881", "symbol": "LOR", "name": "L'Or\u00e9al S.A.", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 56.654, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.763, "architecture_energy": 29.996, "architecture_maturity": 19.567, "architecture_confidence": 42.477, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.53, "rotation_up": 38.88, "upward_expansion": 67.51, "deceleration": 67.81, "rotation_down": 23.84, "downward_expansion": 7.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 383.079998, 382.815452, 377.731418, 373.516991 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 386.0, "trend_reference": 371.369673, "distance_from_trend": 0.039396, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 374.919649, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.029554, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.556154, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.001506, "excess_performance": -0.066146, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039396, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020061, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.029554, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065858, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.035562, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012435, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.001506, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.630434, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6701, "relative_activity": 1.495392, "balance": 0.630434, "dry_up": 1.656903, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040464, "annualized_volatility": 0.239931, "from_high_reference": -0.037406, "from_low_reference": 0.157519 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 371.369673, "fair_value_reference": 374.919649, "structural_low": 333.471977, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.017242, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.013797, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.096379, "worst_return": -0.016262, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.020444, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.012029, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.117499, "worst_return": 0.009861, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.029769, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.010384, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.103732, "worst_return": -0.115221, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 374.649994, "volume": 10054, "typical_volume": 4547.35, "trend": 370.13932, "fair_value": 374.976395, "relative_strength": -2.044821, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.293049, "energy": 22.786603, "activity_lines": [ 379.679997, 380.798178, 374.140857, 371.465939 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 387.05, "volume": 8987, "typical_volume": 4447.65, "trend": 371.119363, "fair_value": 374.95154, "relative_strength": -0.806526, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.218641, "energy": 26.484314, "activity_lines": [ 381.519997, 382.133633, 376.081595, 372.55695 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 386.0, "volume": 6701, "typical_volume": 4481.1, "trend": 371.369673, "fair_value": 374.919649, "relative_strength": -3.556154, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.763119, "energy": 29.995818, "activity_lines": [ 383.079998, 382.815452, 377.731418, 373.516991 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }