{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60640b3b-9198-45e6-91f2-62c0a0b27c90", "symbol": "FDP", "name": "Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.4, "architecture_energy": 42.898, "architecture_maturity": 81.494, "architecture_confidence": 93.563, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.79, "rotation_up": 27.83, "upward_expansion": 20.55, "deceleration": 46.81, "rotation_down": 39.15, "downward_expansion": 70.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.632, 29.174182, 30.97788, 33.217709 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 30.75, "trend_reference": 35.608523, "distance_from_trend": -0.136443, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.485185, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.042897, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.905303, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.187599, "excess_performance": -0.313224, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.136443, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059685, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.042897, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215092, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.229053, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125878, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.187599, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.831133, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2120454, "relative_activity": 1.014571, "balance": 0.831133, "dry_up": 0.920167, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071389, "annualized_volatility": 0.351901, "from_high_reference": -0.282858, "from_low_reference": 0.161692 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.608523, "fair_value_reference": 29.485185, "structural_low": 26.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.033274, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.020718, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.220305, "worst_return": -0.113582, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.024287, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.044802, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.324, "worst_return": -0.173346, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.037195, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.048873, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.539165, "worst_return": -0.150343, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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28.628667, 28.840364, 31.756896, 33.942685 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.71, "volume": 2213879, "typical_volume": 2094143.3, "trend": 35.764535, "fair_value": 29.449069, "relative_strength": -23.363032, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.408483, "energy": 50.105796, "activity_lines": [ 28.973333, 28.880182, 31.290983, 33.541228 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.75, "volume": 2120454, "typical_volume": 2090001.15, "trend": 35.608523, "fair_value": 29.485185, "relative_strength": -22.905303, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.400376, "energy": 42.898265, "activity_lines": [ 29.632, 29.174182, 30.97788, 33.217709 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }