{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6068edfa-9e0f-4490-97f9-611712e79464", "symbol": "ININ", "name": "Inin Group AS", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 83.047, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.736, "architecture_energy": 20.666, "architecture_maturity": 20.684, "architecture_confidence": 53.132, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.22, "rotation_up": 48.85, "upward_expansion": 64.06, "deceleration": 58.43, "rotation_down": 17.98, "downward_expansion": 14.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.121333, 3.036, 3.043429, 3.028065 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.0, "trend_reference": 3.019667, "distance_from_trend": -0.006513, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.911122, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.030531, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.112149, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.032258, "excess_performance": -0.157252, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006513, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00399, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.030531, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073665, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.051121, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.121143, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.032258, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.437312, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31588, "relative_activity": 0.637592, "balance": 1.437312, "dry_up": 1.356049, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122051, "annualized_volatility": 0.427199, "from_high_reference": -0.202128, "from_low_reference": 0.583113 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.019667, "fair_value_reference": 2.911122, "structural_low": 2.57, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.022427, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.214286, "median_excess_return": -0.033483, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.386364, "worst_return": -0.299509, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.080024, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.08397, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.661905, "worst_return": -0.328969, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.172727, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.166663, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.652381, "worst_return": -0.297872, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.00303, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.084838, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.14239, "worst_return": -0.020833, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.044693, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.00295, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.23125, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.121622, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.056075, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.017021, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.274306, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.038647, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.236364, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.003279, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.126923, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.185714, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.055556, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.006711, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 3.35, "volume": 1037567, "typical_volume": 742867.15, "trend": 2.991, "fair_value": 3.980737, "relative_strength": 28.265867, "stage": 3, 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"direction": -41.225865, "energy": 30.722197, "activity_lines": [ 2.888, 2.952, 3.001952, 3.001269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.88, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 61813.6, "trend": 2.998333, "fair_value": 2.916378, "relative_strength": -4.898045, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.217073, "energy": 32.674524, "activity_lines": [ 2.884, 2.927273, 2.991619, 2.993376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.06, "volume": 56720, "typical_volume": 48807.05, "trend": 3.004667, "fair_value": 2.913686, "relative_strength": -1.550858, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.641038, "energy": 9.479638, "activity_lines": [ 2.946667, 2.941818, 2.998667, 2.997355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.5, "volume": 180421, "typical_volume": 51548.25, "trend": 3.019333, "fair_value": 2.913686, "relative_strength": 11.418038, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.115514, "energy": 30.07451, "activity_lines": [ 3.142667, 3.037091, 3.046381, 3.029312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.0, "volume": 31588, "typical_volume": 49542.65, "trend": 3.019667, "fair_value": 2.911122, "relative_strength": -5.112149, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.736093, "energy": 20.666142, "activity_lines": [ 3.121333, 3.036, 3.043429, 3.028065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }