{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6070abd3-ee2d-4178-a807-8f3cf09ef556",
    "symbol": "UCG",
    "name": "UniCredit S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 76.903,
    "architecture_energy": 61.259,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.34,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.664,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.37,
        "rotation_up": 54.67,
        "upward_expansion": 81.21,
        "deceleration": 69.47,
        "rotation_down": 25.64,
        "downward_expansion": 10.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        81.739333,
        80.826363,
        77.189743,
        74.254208
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 84.43,
    "trend_reference": 71.625712,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.178767,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 45.842157,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.841755,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.610076,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.168852,
    "excess_performance": -0.005395,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.178767,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072105,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.841755,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11972,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016101,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06286,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.168852,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.733681,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3012,
      "relative_activity": 1.540862,
      "balance": 0.733681,
      "dry_up": 2.763781,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047358,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.35655,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01837,
      "from_low_reference": 0.48637
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 71.625712,
      "fair_value_reference": 45.842157,
      "structural_low": 56.802809,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 49,
        "median_return": 0.039142,
        "positive_rate": 0.673469,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.673469,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025552,
        "regime_survival": 0.836735,
        "best_return": 0.270949,
        "worst_return": -0.343575,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_return": 0.118186,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.466667,
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        "worst_return": -0.300904,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "worst_return": -0.30181,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.003108,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-10-06",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 1041.9,
        "trend": 65.136962,
        "fair_value": 40.482861,
        "relative_strength": -10.803381,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 11.744499,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 1066.95,
        "trend": 65.471503,
        "fair_value": 40.8296,
        "relative_strength": -4.675927,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 71.480003,
        "volume": 102,
        "typical_volume": 1070.8,
        "trend": 65.887012,
        "fair_value": 41.183454,
        "relative_strength": -2.717263,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 33.361303,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.661947,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 209,
        "typical_volume": 1078.35,
        "trend": 66.354292,
        "fair_value": 41.543658,
        "relative_strength": -3.650321,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.622469,
        "energy": 50.321307,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 74.089996,
        "volume": 169,
        "typical_volume": 1006.75,
        "trend": 66.808473,
        "fair_value": 41.914969,
        "relative_strength": -3.864231,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.245895,
        "energy": 68.147546,
        "activity_lines": [
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          67.562954
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 73.400002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1006.35,
        "trend": 67.255234,
        "fair_value": 42.284232,
        "relative_strength": -3.691598,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.287699,
        "energy": 71.778972,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 73.199997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 993.6,
        "trend": 67.629194,
        "fair_value": 42.647792,
        "relative_strength": -6.552074,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.058886,
        "energy": 71.315091,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 50,
        "typical_volume": 879.75,
        "trend": 68.309365,
        "fair_value": 43.052855,
        "relative_strength": -1.514728,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 88.666305,
        "energy": 84.945469,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 169,
        "typical_volume": 880.2,
        "trend": 68.790326,
        "fair_value": 43.42914,
        "relative_strength": -3.942225,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.747044,
        "energy": 77.748102,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 81.919998,
        "volume": 839,
        "typical_volume": 881.3,
        "trend": 69.40081,
        "fair_value": 43.837495,
        "relative_strength": -0.313261,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.529665,
        "energy": 88.167077,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 83.089996,
        "volume": 9388,
        "typical_volume": 1335.7,
        "trend": 69.953345,
        "fair_value": 44.25071,
        "relative_strength": 2.285213,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.624163,
        "energy": 92.340643,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.546664,
          77.81618,
          73.234598,
          71.489185
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 80.730003,
        "volume": 5641,
        "typical_volume": 1615.65,
        "trend": 70.357268,
        "fair_value": 44.645634,
        "relative_strength": 1.196053,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.15137,
        "energy": 84.565001,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.079999,
          78.72709,
          74.268382,
          72.184454
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 80.129997,
        "volume": 11216,
        "typical_volume": 1925.45,
        "trend": 70.759409,
        "fair_value": 45.035613,
        "relative_strength": -0.907331,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.156977,
        "energy": 75.30872,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.911332,
          79.339453,
          75.196894,
          72.814952
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 79.75,
        "volume": 1741,
        "typical_volume": 1898.2,
        "trend": 71.112121,
        "fair_value": 45.423431,
        "relative_strength": -1.259319,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.163791,
        "energy": 56.482329,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.637332,
          79.725453,
          76.01299,
          73.39499
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 84.43,
        "volume": 3012,
        "typical_volume": 1954.75,
        "trend": 71.625712,
        "fair_value": 45.842157,
        "relative_strength": 1.610076,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.902529,
        "energy": 61.258879,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.739333,
          80.826363,
          77.189743,
          74.254208
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}