{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60747f11-cab5-42e2-8464-c90a283a4bc5", "symbol": "LOCL", "name": "Local Bounti Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.941, "architecture_energy": 75.72, "architecture_maturity": 34.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.673, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.73, "rotation_up": 11.39, "upward_expansion": 17.35, "deceleration": 37.19, "rotation_down": 76.71, "downward_expansion": 95.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.07, 1.161091, 1.359381, 1.417806 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.03, "trend_reference": 1.536, "distance_from_trend": -0.329427, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.331581, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.55824, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -54.114485, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.47449, "excess_performance": -0.600115, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.329427, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.20194, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.55824, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154607, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.541145, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.14586, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.47449, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.094123, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 90347, "relative_activity": 0.020051, "balance": 1.094123, "dry_up": 0.02121, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.23596, "annualized_volatility": 1.258751, "from_high_reference": -0.742178, "from_low_reference": 0.084211 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.536, "fair_value_reference": 2.331581, "structural_low": 0.95, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.143564, "positive_rate": 0.37037, "directional_follow_through": 0.62963, "median_excess_return": -0.129832, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 2.081232, "worst_return": -0.494898, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.245097, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.277497, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.776711, "worst_return": -0.66936, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.419643, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.513151, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.360944, "worst_return": -0.820345, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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1.615, "fair_value": 2.376581, "relative_strength": -52.474893, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.528146, "energy": 62.320643, "activity_lines": [ 1.196667, 1.280727, 1.447714, 1.492731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.0, "volume": 88149, "typical_volume": 4506551.7, "trend": 1.576333, "fair_value": 2.352158, "relative_strength": -54.757296, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.111861, "energy": 71.402424, "activity_lines": [ 1.116, 1.21, 1.401857, 1.453054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.03, "volume": 90347, "typical_volume": 4505845.95, "trend": 1.536, "fair_value": 2.331581, "relative_strength": -54.114485, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.9414, "energy": 75.720485, "activity_lines": [ 1.07, 1.161091, 1.359381, 1.417806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }