{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6077ce67-21ba-4cac-96a5-03155d1fc4b2", "symbol": "RM", "name": "Regional Management Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 84.131, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 1.772, "architecture_energy": 16.153, "architecture_maturity": 71.946, "architecture_confidence": 74.539, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.23, "rotation_up": 18.18, "upward_expansion": 56.4, "deceleration": 88.22, "rotation_down": 41.7, "downward_expansion": 22.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.32, 38.155636, 37.692899, 36.782942 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 32.79, "trend_reference": 35.907779, "distance_from_trend": -0.086827, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.33968, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.080763, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.4329, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.061693, "excess_performance": -0.187318, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.086827, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006933, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.080763, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110773, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.214329, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106855, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.061693, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.319729, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 688227, "relative_activity": 2.017758, "balance": 1.319729, "dry_up": 1.424014, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111848, "annualized_volatility": 0.508693, "from_high_reference": -0.269051, "from_low_reference": 0.085731 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.907779, "fair_value_reference": 30.33968, "structural_low": 30.200839, 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"modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.410327, "energy": 77.905068, "activity_lines": [ 41.770667, 39.937073, 38.002793, 36.907033 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.65, "volume": 380535, "typical_volume": 304360.65, "trend": 36.305746, "fair_value": 30.267854, "relative_strength": 3.681541, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.502365, "energy": 74.276324, "activity_lines": [ 41.983333, 40.523818, 38.51191, 37.25658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.27, "volume": 552028, "typical_volume": 321536.95, "trend": 36.095639, "fair_value": 30.294711, "relative_strength": -20.302124, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.458544, "energy": 17.048375, "activity_lines": [ 38.772667, 39.264364, 38.081578, 36.996209 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.79, "volume": 688227, "typical_volume": 341085.05, "trend": 35.907779, "fair_value": 30.33968, "relative_strength": -21.4329, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.771542, "energy": 16.153153, "activity_lines": [ 36.32, 38.155636, 37.692899, 36.782942 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }