{ "ticker": { "uuid": "607cfb04-6999-497e-a007-5cfa519568b0", "symbol": "1503", "name": "Shihlin Electric & Engineering Corp.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 56.579, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -13.769, "architecture_energy": 18.116, "architecture_maturity": 10.898, "architecture_confidence": 47.83, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.78, "rotation_up": 15.82, "upward_expansion": 14.21, "deceleration": 63.66, "rotation_down": 55.84, "downward_expansion": 41.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 196.660914, 204.283905, 206.715314, 204.651129 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 198.5, "trend_reference": 203.934283, "distance_from_trend": -0.026647, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 181.582869, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.093165, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -25.318164, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.011474, "excess_performance": -0.429898, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.026647, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077308, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.093165, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035672, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.253182, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059966, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.011474, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.040382, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7296005, "relative_activity": 0.426532, "balance": 2.040382, "dry_up": 0.443282, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124989, "annualized_volatility": 0.4925, "from_high_reference": -0.245617, "from_low_reference": 0.266706 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 203.934283, "fair_value_reference": 181.582869, "structural_low": 173.791972, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.025845, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.003655, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.468354, "worst_return": -0.080332, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.090091, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.080825, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.413502, "worst_return": -0.030457, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.065523, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.155205, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.630692, 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201.17727, "fair_value": 180.514399, "relative_strength": -21.693038, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.019496, "energy": 17.882348, "activity_lines": [ 208.111508, 215.269767, 208.585377, 205.889093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 195.0, "volume": 8048659, "typical_volume": 17545419.75, "trend": 202.030659, "fair_value": 180.812919, "relative_strength": -23.678472, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.905231, "energy": 15.404819, "activity_lines": [ 201.742791, 211.395641, 207.880907, 205.490559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 193.5, "volume": 6012097, "typical_volume": 17305377.0, "trend": 202.980501, "fair_value": 181.147132, "relative_strength": -25.388131, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.582445, "energy": 19.353293, "activity_lines": [ 197.072735, 207.200476, 207.048822, 204.940194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 198.5, "volume": 7296005, "typical_volume": 17105414.35, "trend": 203.934283, "fair_value": 181.582869, "relative_strength": -25.318164, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.76878, "energy": 18.116352, "activity_lines": [ 196.660914, 204.283905, 206.715314, 204.651129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }