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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.605, "architecture_energy": 47.911, "architecture_maturity": 17.176, "architecture_confidence": 87.071, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.12, "rotation_up": 59.47, "upward_expansion": 78.91, "deceleration": 52.72, "rotation_down": 15.29, "downward_expansion": 10.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.157999, 56.463282, 54.699915, 53.680008 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 61.299999, "trend_reference": 52.631539, "distance_from_trend": 0.164701, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.305497, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.736274, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 20.290751, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.303701, "excess_performance": 0.346904, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.164701, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023807, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.736274, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122795, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.202908, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050412, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.303701, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.151707, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18870765, "relative_activity": 2.27055, "balance": 1.151707, "dry_up": 2.068856, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120506, "annualized_volatility": 0.575366, "from_high_reference": -0.147546, "from_low_reference": 0.912637 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.631539, "fair_value_reference": 35.305497, "structural_low": 45.650002, 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advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.646969, "energy": 30.206345, "activity_lines": [ 53.584036, 52.460571, 52.431539, 51.906483 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 53.32, "volume": 12749257, "typical_volume": 5946957.15, "trend": 51.346539, "fair_value": 34.953198, "relative_strength": 7.218135, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.717388, "energy": 31.705738, "activity_lines": [ 53.867625, 52.596095, 52.582938, 52.039223 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 53.5, "volume": 9599102, "typical_volume": 6201328.5, "trend": 51.500539, "fair_value": 34.995412, "relative_strength": 13.199227, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.685258, "energy": 36.249448, "activity_lines": [ 53.785677, 52.819074, 52.72948, 52.178156 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 65.449997, "volume": 12703530, "typical_volume": 6524055.15, "trend": 52.057539, "fair_value": 35.134099, "relative_strength": 34.902103, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.032237, "energy": 68.241284, "activity_lines": [ 57.52243, 55.254597, 53.997974, 53.078121 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 52.299999, "volume": 27604478, "typical_volume": 7615844.3, "trend": 52.213205, "fair_value": 35.193163, "relative_strength": 6.547436, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.640669, "energy": 34.611829, "activity_lines": [ 56.294764, 55.045576, 53.929611, 53.093763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 61.299999, "volume": 18870765, "typical_volume": 8311099.7, "trend": 52.631539, "fair_value": 35.305497, "relative_strength": 20.290751, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.605482, "energy": 47.910759, "activity_lines": [ 58.157999, 56.463282, 54.699915, 53.680008 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }