{ "ticker": { "uuid": "608b4040-8d8e-4bdb-8946-a7a205e73533", "symbol": "000565", "name": "Chongqing Sanxia Paints Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.047, "architecture_energy": 59.561, "architecture_maturity": 41.239, "architecture_confidence": 91.965, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.77, "rotation_up": 19.62, "upward_expansion": 10.47, "deceleration": 55.35, "rotation_down": 59.54, "downward_expansion": 81.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.612667, 5.751204, 6.308983, 6.70681 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.83, "trend_reference": 7.203468, "distance_from_trend": -0.190668, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.360164, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.083357, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.190995, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.295042, "excess_performance": -0.302442, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.190668, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07884, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.083357, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.375941, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.26191, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034115, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.295042, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.686297, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53695246, "relative_activity": 1.173136, "balance": 0.686297, "dry_up": 1.121184, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09779, "annualized_volatility": 0.388346, "from_high_reference": -0.379787, "from_low_reference": 0.163673 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.203468, "fair_value_reference": 6.360164, "structural_low": 5.01, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.022059, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.47619, "median_excess_return": 0.011216, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.244445, "worst_return": -0.183807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.024416, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.014871, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.484694, "worst_return": -0.19863, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.027223, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004762, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.382653, "worst_return": -0.127613, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 5.25, "volume": 63623046, "typical_volume": 47717094.35, "trend": 7.320801, "fair_value": 6.360222, "relative_strength": -32.680421, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.13731, "energy": 71.496319, "activity_lines": [ 5.601731, 5.902259, 6.526879, 6.910247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.59, "volume": 43965491, "typical_volume": 46631111.4, "trend": 7.252468, "fair_value": 6.359711, "relative_strength": -26.334612, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.467265, "energy": 66.527311, "activity_lines": [ 5.561667, 5.785641, 6.400241, 6.798582 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.83, "volume": 53695246, "typical_volume": 45770691.85, "trend": 7.203468, "fair_value": 6.360164, "relative_strength": -26.190995, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.046906, "energy": 59.560757, "activity_lines": [ 5.612667, 5.751204, 6.308983, 6.70681 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }