{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60a03819-1ac9-4374-a311-4a0d02945d2e", "symbol": "5EW", "name": "Sevens Atelier Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.113, "architecture_energy": 69.962, "architecture_maturity": 52.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.662, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.68, "rotation_up": 15.61, "upward_expansion": 14.78, "deceleration": 42.83, "rotation_down": 70.24, "downward_expansion": 90.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.017, 0.017836, 0.020371, 0.021946 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.017, "trend_reference": 0.023133, "distance_from_trend": -0.26513, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.028558, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.404714, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.493947, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.105263, "excess_performance": -0.260098, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.26513, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200461, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.404714, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04717, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.484939, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.166253, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.105263, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.001473, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.001473, "dry_up": 0.217437, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.149321, "annualized_volatility": 1.07616, "from_high_reference": -0.653061, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.023133, "fair_value_reference": 0.028558, "structural_low": 0.017, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.37037, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.009681, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 1.4, "worst_return": -0.492308, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.009649, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.039201, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.55, "worst_return": -0.490196, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.13986, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.034665, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.166667, "worst_return": -0.617647, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.368421, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.159449, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.666667, "worst_return": -0.81, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.34375, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.08, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.148148, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.290323, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.479167, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.76, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.113636, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.025641, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.5, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", 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[ 0.022, 0.023436, 0.024752, 0.025361 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.02, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 52965.0, "trend": 0.026833, "fair_value": 0.030513, "relative_strength": -38.451564, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.634255, "energy": 82.176542, "activity_lines": [ 0.020733, 0.0228, 0.024238, 0.02488 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.02, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 46015.0, "trend": 0.0262, "fair_value": 0.030192, "relative_strength": -38.422934, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.818689, "energy": 81.505595, "activity_lines": [ 0.020067, 0.022182, 0.023719, 0.024439 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.017, "volume": 67900, "typical_volume": 48910.0, "trend": 0.0255, "fair_value": 0.029865, "relative_strength": -49.183776, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.728503, "energy": 86.773169, "activity_lines": [ 0.019, 0.021055, 0.022962, 0.023845 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.017, "volume": 41700, "typical_volume": 50995.0, "trend": 0.024733, "fair_value": 0.029538, "relative_strength": -48.938112, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.709447, "energy": 76.985634, "activity_lines": [ 0.0182, 0.020018, 0.022243, 0.023297 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.017, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 47945.0, "trend": 0.023967, "fair_value": 0.029212, "relative_strength": -48.933043, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.049264, "energy": 81.349042, "activity_lines": [ 0.0176, 0.019073, 0.021562, 0.022798 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.017, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 47945.0, "trend": 0.023233, "fair_value": 0.028885, "relative_strength": -48.23311, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.182197, "energy": 77.092314, "activity_lines": [ 0.0172, 0.018345, 0.020938, 0.022348 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.017, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 47945.0, "trend": 0.023133, "fair_value": 0.028558, "relative_strength": -48.493947, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.112721, "energy": 69.961934, "activity_lines": [ 0.017, 0.017836, 0.020371, 0.021946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }