{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60a2c242-0a87-439c-b41e-110da0e7641e", "symbol": "BQN", "name": "BH Global Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.167, "architecture_energy": 30.941, "architecture_maturity": 82.078, "architecture_confidence": 78.907, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.42, "rotation_up": 29.12, "upward_expansion": 24.04, "deceleration": 46.32, "rotation_down": 27.26, "downward_expansion": 62.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.086467, 0.084364, 0.088652, 0.094695 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.087, "trend_reference": 0.101533, "distance_from_trend": -0.143139, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.107809, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.193015, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.737164, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.186916, "excess_performance": -0.341751, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.143139, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069924, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.193015, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032495, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.297372, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021951, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.186916, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.903433, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 700, "relative_activity": 0.033262, "balance": 1.903433, "dry_up": 0.611784, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071618, "annualized_volatility": 0.779147, "from_high_reference": -0.350746, "from_low_reference": 0.242857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.101533, "fair_value_reference": 0.107809, "structural_low": 0.07, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.008895, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.516647, "worst_return": -0.278849, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.057098, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.048428, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.342862, "worst_return": -0.323609, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.117041, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.110505, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.186666, "worst_return": -0.363397, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.19646, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.309731, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.591038, "worst_return": -0.54023, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.121743, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.10853, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.234481, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.118684, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.135593, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.018868, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.018349, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.018692, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, 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"typical_volume": 19475.0, "trend": 0.1042, "fair_value": 0.107755, "relative_strength": -43.739661, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.477958, "energy": 92.360172, "activity_lines": [ 0.077333, 0.084291, 0.092695, 0.098692 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.088, "volume": 50800, "typical_volume": 22015.0, "trend": 0.103567, "fair_value": 0.107828, "relative_strength": -29.042317, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.443173, "energy": 80.536559, "activity_lines": [ 0.080067, 0.084218, 0.091419, 0.097647 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.088, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 22010.0, "trend": 0.102933, "fair_value": 0.107753, "relative_strength": -29.322987, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.927479, "energy": 55.157949, "activity_lines": [ 0.082667, 0.084055, 0.090352, 0.096643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.088, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 22010.0, "trend": 0.102267, "fair_value": 0.107725, "relative_strength": -28.94052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.132016, "energy": 49.392757, "activity_lines": [ 0.084933, 0.0842, 0.089462, 0.09568 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.087, "volume": 700, "typical_volume": 21045.0, "trend": 0.101533, "fair_value": 0.107809, "relative_strength": -29.737164, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.166933, "energy": 30.941223, "activity_lines": [ 0.086467, 0.084364, 0.088652, 0.094695 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }