{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60bee07f-1e1b-4ec2-a576-8f88f2f4f1ce", "symbol": "XPS", "name": "XPS Pensions Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 53.216, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 44.03, "architecture_energy": 53.617, "architecture_maturity": 12.937, "architecture_confidence": 56.164, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.5, "rotation_up": 68.44, "upward_expansion": 62.8, "deceleration": 19.09, "rotation_down": 19.42, "downward_expansion": 18.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 333.933333, 327.4, 319.533333, 315.908602 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 344.0, "trend_reference": 316.55, "distance_from_trend": 0.086716, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 307.380394, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.119134, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.60712, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.005848, "excess_performance": -0.045387, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086716, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018868, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.119134, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092791, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036071, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.139348, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.005848, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.488053, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3577970, "relative_activity": 1.250801, "balance": 2.488053, "dry_up": 1.748243, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063305, "annualized_volatility": 0.237577, "from_high_reference": -0.106187, "from_low_reference": 0.250909 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 316.55, "fair_value_reference": 307.380394, "structural_low": 275.0, "invalidation": "A 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303.682676, "relative_strength": -9.65345, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.40645, "energy": 11.411108, "activity_lines": [ 316.6, 314.154545, 309.916667, 311.543557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 333.5, "volume": 2447956, "typical_volume": 2585908.95, "trend": 317.030606, "fair_value": 304.626313, "relative_strength": -5.617664, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.554476, "energy": 28.539858, "activity_lines": [ 322.366667, 318.181818, 312.457143, 312.593284 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 326.0, "volume": 4252843, "typical_volume": 2571945.1, "trend": 316.681963, "fair_value": 305.486656, "relative_strength": -8.345156, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.093609, "energy": 39.44687, "activity_lines": [ 324.533333, 320.3, 314.17619, 313.171955 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 331.5, "volume": 9724932, "typical_volume": 2813605.1, "trend": 316.4, "fair_value": 306.385457, "relative_strength": -7.400874, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.136814, "energy": 41.854302, "activity_lines": [ 327.933333, 322.909091, 316.333333, 314.127957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 344.0, "volume": 3577970, "typical_volume": 2860543.55, "trend": 316.55, "fair_value": 307.380394, "relative_strength": -3.60712, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.029715, "energy": 53.616963, "activity_lines": [ 333.933333, 327.4, 319.533333, 315.908602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }