{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60ceb184-25ed-42b2-8e69-83e0c1f30f9f", "symbol": "XCID", "name": "PT Ciptadana Asset Management - DIRE Properti Ritel Fund", "exchange": "JKT", "country": "ID", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^JKSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -32.518, "architecture_energy": 13.283, "architecture_maturity": 24.043, "architecture_confidence": 71.148, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.63, "rotation_up": 22.44, "upward_expansion": 13.77, "deceleration": 39.01, "rotation_down": 38.97, "downward_expansion": 63.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.458691, 51.274304, 51.673807, 51.886257 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 52.0, "trend_reference": 52.416209, "distance_from_trend": -0.00794, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 56.575355, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.080872, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.655369, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.034624, "excess_performance": 0.157633, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00794, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024309, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.080872, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027765, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.086554, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106798, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.034624, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 11.490049, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8332200, "relative_activity": 14.931455, "balance": 11.490049, "dry_up": 4.05937, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068186, "annualized_volatility": 0.256561, "from_high_reference": -0.469292, "from_low_reference": 0.106383 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.416209, "fair_value_reference": 56.575355, "structural_low": 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51.29443, 51.741521, 52.028227 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.888691, "volume": 450000, "typical_volume": 155495.0, "trend": 52.478376, "fair_value": 56.616207, "relative_strength": 8.951148, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.45081, "energy": 24.091142, "activity_lines": [ 51.154776, 51.173236, 51.652099, 51.91712 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.0, "volume": 8332200, "typical_volume": 558030.0, "trend": 52.416209, "fair_value": 56.575355, "relative_strength": 8.655369, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.517675, "energy": 13.282993, "activity_lines": [ 51.458691, 51.274304, 51.673807, 51.886257 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }