{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60d34413-ad4d-4cfe-9cfb-41f7ad991e20", "symbol": "CORO", "name": "iShares International Country Rotation Active ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.278, "architecture_energy": 32.485, "architecture_maturity": 38.766, "architecture_confidence": 86.327, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.07, "rotation_up": 37.07, "upward_expansion": 63.3, "deceleration": 92.46, "rotation_down": 26.88, "downward_expansion": 12.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.961333, 35.927809, 35.662845, 35.108404 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 36.82, "trend_reference": 34.446048, "distance_from_trend": 0.068918, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.546659, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.246165, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.774867, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.09711, "excess_performance": -0.090344, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068918, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052951, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.246165, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004321, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.007749, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016124, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.09711, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.125914, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3903182, "relative_activity": 0.42888, "balance": 6.125914, "dry_up": 0.443619, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034765, "annualized_volatility": 0.190499, "from_high_reference": -0.012103, "from_low_reference": 0.314125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.446048, "fair_value_reference": 29.546659, "structural_low": 30.8901, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"fair_value": 29.391, "relative_strength": 0.716074, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.574612, "energy": 23.189727, "activity_lines": [ 35.590211, 35.767922, 35.378231, 34.847924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.66, "volume": 3045490, "typical_volume": 11046206.8, "trend": 34.290008, "fair_value": 29.463058, "relative_strength": 1.062969, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.332641, "energy": 19.911351, "activity_lines": [ 35.577333, 35.744535, 35.474134, 34.945179 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.82, "volume": 3903182, "typical_volume": 9100871.7, "trend": 34.446048, "fair_value": 29.546659, "relative_strength": -0.774867, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.27791, "energy": 32.48459, "activity_lines": [ 35.961333, 35.927809, 35.662845, 35.108404 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }