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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.784, "architecture_energy": 69.215, "architecture_maturity": 69.768, "architecture_confidence": 86.174, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.76, "rotation_up": 62.98, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 65.83, "rotation_down": 26.7, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 114.735999, 114.190793, 111.864351, 110.039417 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 115.32, "trend_reference": 107.189888, "distance_from_trend": 0.075848, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 104.749946, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.100907, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.652124, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.189684, "excess_performance": 0.246732, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075848, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053947, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.100907, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083294, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.066521, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.207032, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.189684, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.919192, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11, "relative_activity": 0.172956, "balance": 0.919192, "dry_up": 0.518868, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014781, "annualized_volatility": 0.211489, "from_high_reference": -0.017382, "from_low_reference": 0.250593 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 107.189888, "fair_value_reference": 104.749946, "structural_low": 101.833504, 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"volume": 2, "typical_volume": 60.0, "trend": 105.875058, "fair_value": 104.385816, "relative_strength": 4.637508, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.206799, "energy": 76.160479, "activity_lines": [ 113.871754, 113.160527, 110.050909, 108.393059 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 117.0, "volume": 20, "typical_volume": 60.5, "trend": 106.388958, "fair_value": 104.540708, "relative_strength": 6.361224, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.456488, "energy": 77.052899, "activity_lines": [ 115.079334, 114.061595, 110.876801, 109.110797 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 112.199997, "volume": 99, "typical_volume": 65.35, "trend": 106.737423, "fair_value": 104.63864, "relative_strength": 0.259599, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.298518, "energy": 66.215366, "activity_lines": [ 114.376666, 113.873175, 111.230776, 109.485703 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 115.32, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": 63.6, "trend": 107.189888, "fair_value": 104.749946, "relative_strength": 6.652124, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.783709, "energy": 69.21543, "activity_lines": [ 114.735999, 114.190793, 111.864351, 110.039417 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }