{ "ticker": { "uuid": "60f77101-18c7-40c2-9419-0a6718173cef", "symbol": "ACNB34", "name": "Accenture plc", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.621, "architecture_energy": 24.203, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.623, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.26, "rotation_up": 32.62, "upward_expansion": 23.92, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 22.08, "downward_expansion": 57.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 804.759334, 767.918391, 803.468416, 860.92744 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 874.640015, "trend_reference": 971.386782, "distance_from_trend": -0.099597, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1533.162624, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.429519, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.778637, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.295039, "excess_performance": -0.237991, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099597, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.179212, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.429519, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012396, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.267786, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.180115, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.295039, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.301625, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1424, "relative_activity": 3.266804, "balance": 1.301625, "dry_up": 2.709911, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088128, "annualized_volatility": 0.556443, "from_high_reference": -0.437347, "from_low_reference": 0.357078 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 971.386782, "fair_value_reference": 1533.162624, "structural_low": 644.502467, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.001938, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006312, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.160977, "worst_return": -0.213152, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.018157, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.010533, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.3229, "worst_return": -0.176359, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.04534, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.020511, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.494643, "worst_return": -0.318652, "sufficient": 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751.962656, 819.955801, 900.57147 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 742.72998, "volume": 1399, "typical_volume": 360.4, "trend": 1014.814484, "fair_value": 1541.033309, "relative_strength": -40.089211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.517607, "energy": 62.763391, "activity_lines": [ 726.336267, 743.123897, 806.417927, 881.433306 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 815.0, "volume": 643, "typical_volume": 387.15, "trend": 992.666449, "fair_value": 1536.890884, "relative_strength": -34.675986, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.483954, "energy": 42.187075, "activity_lines": [ 761.231759, 749.393688, 801.579675, 868.542049 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 874.640015, "volume": 1424, "typical_volume": 435.9, "trend": 971.386782, "fair_value": 1533.162624, "relative_strength": -26.778637, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.620746, "energy": 24.20272, "activity_lines": [ 804.759334, 767.918391, 803.468416, 860.92744 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }