{ "ticker": { "uuid": "61174a8e-fcd2-4d02-b971-39096511d220", "symbol": "UNP", "name": "Union Pacific Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.235, "architecture_energy": 72.902, "architecture_maturity": 39.561, "architecture_confidence": 83.771, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.18, "rotation_up": 71.76, "upward_expansion": 89.44, "deceleration": 46.74, "rotation_down": 11.25, "downward_expansion": 16.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 296.439333, 289.564545, 279.353126, 271.7078 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 293.13, "trend_reference": 261.838041, "distance_from_trend": 0.119509, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 230.688738, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.270673, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.672928, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.172531, "excess_performance": 0.046906, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.119509, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076336, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.270673, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093887, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.066729, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053794, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.172531, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.909094, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11827912, "relative_activity": 0.831328, "balance": 1.909094, "dry_up": 1.153417, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05195, "annualized_volatility": 0.234099, "from_high_reference": -0.072344, "from_low_reference": 0.413119 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 261.838041, "fair_value_reference": 230.688738, "structural_low": 230.503854, 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263.34084, 258.445168 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 286.96, "volume": 10277317, "typical_volume": 14004286.65, "trend": 252.639923, "fair_value": 228.474005, "relative_strength": 8.102994, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.092284, "energy": 51.644937, "activity_lines": [ 277.020667, 272.69453, 266.009191, 260.76582 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 301.75, "volume": 14977634, "typical_volume": 13936855.7, "trend": 254.971639, "fair_value": 229.108621, "relative_strength": 15.132133, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.730636, "energy": 84.140552, "activity_lines": [ 286.461333, 278.485389, 269.973625, 263.934212 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 307.32, "volume": 20655107, "typical_volume": 14199611.3, "trend": 257.515082, "fair_value": 229.683076, "relative_strength": 17.518789, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.901424, "energy": 91.167745, "activity_lines": [ 295.822, 284.589278, 274.286845, 267.311525 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 292.13, "volume": 18181352, "typical_volume": 14447350.15, "trend": 259.602662, "fair_value": 230.18558, "relative_strength": 10.246204, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.331423, "energy": 80.81695, "activity_lines": [ 296.756667, 287.237273, 276.893693, 269.544746 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 293.13, "volume": 11827912, "typical_volume": 14227731.85, "trend": 261.838041, "fair_value": 230.688738, "relative_strength": 6.672928, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.234572, "energy": 72.901682, "activity_lines": [ 296.439333, 289.564545, 279.353126, 271.7078 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }