{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6144e604-3e4d-4f25-a962-2b0e3af39385", "symbol": "300647", "name": "Shenzhen Fluence Technology PLC.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.394, "architecture_energy": 61.016, "architecture_maturity": 25.028, "architecture_confidence": 83.786, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.92, "rotation_up": 12.73, "upward_expansion": 10.97, "deceleration": 44.63, "rotation_down": 68.82, "downward_expansion": 84.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.222667, 5.406, 5.836048, 6.060903 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.66, "trend_reference": 6.38, "distance_from_trend": -0.112853, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.196154, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.08653, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.120111, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.183261, "excess_performance": -0.190661, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.112853, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069247, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.08653, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.210285, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.181201, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033106, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.183261, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.468605, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 82396435, "relative_activity": 1.455024, "balance": 0.468605, "dry_up": 1.253388, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099891, "annualized_volatility": 0.451521, "from_high_reference": -0.327791, "from_low_reference": 0.269058 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.38, "fair_value_reference": 6.196154, "structural_low": 4.46, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.011677, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.001361, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.247436, "worst_return": -0.197432, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.029079, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.007559, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.576923, "worst_return": -0.242991, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.084722, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.043462, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.314563, "worst_return": -0.291277, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 6.553, "fair_value": 6.233526, "relative_strength": -26.444935, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.249666, "energy": 85.358306, "activity_lines": [ 5.451333, 5.782727, 6.130714, 6.316065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.73, "volume": 65774091, "typical_volume": 55401634.85, "trend": 6.491, "fair_value": 6.218269, "relative_strength": -30.085626, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.215563, "energy": 90.039944, "activity_lines": [ 5.144, 5.539818, 5.981571, 6.198452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.12, "volume": 60431908, "typical_volume": 55108470.25, "trend": 6.421, "fair_value": 6.204231, "relative_strength": -22.573407, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.970951, "energy": 83.338306, "activity_lines": [ 5.066667, 5.407636, 5.87919, 6.11 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.66, "volume": 82396435, "typical_volume": 56628911.7, "trend": 6.38, "fair_value": 6.196154, "relative_strength": -18.120111, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.394065, "energy": 61.016218, "activity_lines": [ 5.222667, 5.406, 5.836048, 6.060903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }