{ "ticker": { "uuid": "61608d18-cf07-405e-b59a-5b05835456f8", "symbol": "GATEWAY", "name": "Gateway Distriparks Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 62.799, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 16.196, "architecture_energy": 15.092, "architecture_maturity": 19.489, "architecture_confidence": 75.976, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.21, "rotation_up": 20.77, "upward_expansion": 52.75, "deceleration": 89.13, "rotation_down": 36.76, "downward_expansion": 21.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.294, 58.143637, 57.925572, 57.539444 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 56.5, "trend_reference": 57.162712, "distance_from_trend": -0.011593, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 74.592493, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.242551, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.778076, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.039833, "excess_performance": 0.003876, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.011593, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001399, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.242551, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038815, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027781, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067397, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.039833, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.326154, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14086168, "relative_activity": 3.546238, "balance": 0.326154, "dry_up": 1.579942, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057699, "annualized_volatility": 0.266721, "from_high_reference": -0.172759, "from_low_reference": 0.174636 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.162712, "fair_value_reference": 74.592493, "structural_low": 48.099998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.020525, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": -0.023231, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.10179, "worst_return": -0.09538, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.028911, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.066984, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": -0.00596, "worst_return": -0.17496, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.131125, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.178688, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.063437, "worst_return": -0.198813, 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"volume": 3856379, "typical_volume": 3513632.55, "trend": 57.141059, "fair_value": 74.715613, "relative_strength": 0.69036, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.998931, "energy": 16.472945, "activity_lines": [ 58.010667, 58.472182, 57.997667, 57.580803 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.5, "volume": 14086168, "typical_volume": 3972143.9, "trend": 57.162712, "fair_value": 74.592493, "relative_strength": -2.778076, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.195759, "energy": 15.091626, "activity_lines": [ 57.294, 58.143637, 57.925572, 57.539444 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }