{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6175be8d-7f2d-4075-bbf6-2dbda160e008", "symbol": "TXN", "name": "Texas Instruments Incorporated", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.929, "architecture_energy": 19.586, "architecture_maturity": 67.819, "architecture_confidence": 92.12, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.4, "rotation_up": 22.39, "upward_expansion": 54.43, "deceleration": 90.82, "rotation_down": 30.62, "downward_expansion": 18.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 282.853119, 288.261876, 288.044994, 272.348578 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 286.08, "trend_reference": 251.386345, "distance_from_trend": 0.138009, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 188.142827, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.520547, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 15.673461, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.298436, "excess_performance": 0.110982, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.138009, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.190435, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.520547, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106348, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.156735, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082277, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.298436, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.932463, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34919858, "relative_activity": 0.876594, "balance": 0.932463, "dry_up": 1.030574, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098032, "annualized_volatility": 0.462607, "from_high_reference": -0.139139, "from_low_reference": 0.894977 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 251.386345, "fair_value_reference": 188.142827, "structural_low": 183.970328, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.003792, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.001164, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.323905, "worst_return": -0.096717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.117148, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.068449, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.733488, "worst_return": -0.134911, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.201042, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.137366, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.267273, "worst_return": -0.07439, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.236, "energy": 28.851767, "activity_lines": [ 294.520131, 297.38151, 284.013637, 265.52707 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 278.147601, "volume": 46171135, "typical_volume": 38887007.3, "trend": 244.778523, "fair_value": 186.5197, "relative_strength": 19.887413, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.27503, "energy": 25.098662, "activity_lines": [ 287.847317, 293.505979, 285.591076, 267.902083 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 275.74, "volume": 48528430, "typical_volume": 39794976.05, "trend": 248.120807, "fair_value": 187.291501, "relative_strength": 17.668529, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.708708, "energy": 18.432204, "activity_lines": [ 283.352796, 289.639655, 286.530223, 269.899598 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 286.08, "volume": 34919858, "typical_volume": 39835831.25, "trend": 251.386345, "fair_value": 188.142827, "relative_strength": 15.673461, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.929093, "energy": 19.585669, "activity_lines": [ 282.853119, 288.261876, 288.044994, 272.348578 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }