{ "ticker": { "uuid": "618d6292-f3df-461e-8e02-c120066a0e01", "symbol": "RKEC", "name": "RKEC Projects Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.345, "architecture_energy": 55.806, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.3, "rotation_up": 24.91, "upward_expansion": 9.7, "deceleration": 47.19, "rotation_down": 54.66, "downward_expansion": 83.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.862667, 27.408909, 29.474667, 31.659463 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 27.42, "trend_reference": 35.367, "distance_from_trend": -0.224701, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 75.85782, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.638534, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -40.929497, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.375256, "excess_performance": -0.331547, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.224701, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.209535, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.638534, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11083, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.409295, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05882, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.375256, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.516298, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 103005, "relative_activity": 0.635186, "balance": 0.516298, "dry_up": 0.690725, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11185, "annualized_volatility": 0.627719, "from_high_reference": -0.663558, "from_low_reference": 0.0968 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.367, "fair_value_reference": 75.85782, "structural_low": 25.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.047024, "positive_rate": 0.296296, "directional_follow_through": 0.703704, "median_excess_return": -0.022236, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.161465, "worst_return": -0.260331, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.171092, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.160728, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.294692, "worst_return": -0.352243, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.313367, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.229007, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": -0.041489, "worst_return": -0.382527, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"gate": "down", "direction": -69.015752, "energy": 66.276582, "activity_lines": [ 27.374666, 28.106363, 30.457429, 32.948344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.030001, "volume": 116347, "typical_volume": 172857.25, "trend": 36.235667, "fair_value": 76.073397, "relative_strength": -44.511351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.27859, "energy": 66.20315, "activity_lines": [ 26.840667, 27.580909, 29.869238, 32.228215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.42, "volume": 103005, "typical_volume": 162165.1, "trend": 35.367, "fair_value": 75.85782, "relative_strength": -40.929497, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.345213, "energy": 55.805569, "activity_lines": [ 26.862667, 27.408909, 29.474667, 31.659463 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }