{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "619253f7-6f7a-4a54-a9b5-a3b1a40743ec",
    "symbol": "300816",
    "name": "ActBlue Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 89.153,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.647,
    "architecture_energy": 80.785,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.08,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.108,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.18,
        "rotation_up": 8.18,
        "upward_expansion": 18.98,
        "deceleration": 37.08,
        "rotation_down": 79.21,
        "downward_expansion": 94.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        49.065332,
        56.665529,
        66.995075,
        68.364842
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 52.259998,
    "trend_reference": 68.627986,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.238503,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.614035,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.467399,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.317972,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.21307,
    "excess_performance": -0.22047,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.238503,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108285,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.467399,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.134098,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09318,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.564985,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.21307,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.957185,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11941654,
      "relative_activity": 1.046353,
      "balance": 0.957185,
      "dry_up": 1.061557,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.218584,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.690074,
      "from_high_reference": -0.491513,
      "from_low_reference": 0.654935
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 68.627986,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.614035,
      "structural_low": 41.48,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.009295,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003923,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.253863,
        "worst_return": -0.015313,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.128866,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02708,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.352105,
        "worst_return": -0.094373,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.151547,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.068161,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.353308,
        "worst_return": -0.050214,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.382692,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.291603,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.886466,
        "worst_return": -0.121083,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025527,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.210191,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.045927,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.44,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.028642,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.103667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021101,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.197157,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.312916,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.071532,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.1358,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.609959,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.301166,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.114999,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
        "close": 26.632614,
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        "typical_volume": 12690175.0,
        "trend": 28.634951,
        "fair_value": 52.586182,
        "relative_strength": -1.199409,
        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-04",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 35.229538,
        "relative_strength": -12.536979,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -47.611568,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.869999,
        "volume": 14127363,
        "typical_volume": 12371566.0,
        "trend": 68.633986,
        "fair_value": 35.341727,
        "relative_strength": -15.051071,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -44.173676,
        "energy": 68.804346,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.509998,
        "volume": 9884812,
        "typical_volume": 11641048.75,
        "trend": 68.490986,
        "fair_value": 35.44102,
        "relative_strength": -18.308774,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -51.361667,
        "energy": 76.189462,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.516666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 52.259998,
        "volume": 11941654,
        "typical_volume": 11412643.5,
        "trend": 68.627986,
        "fair_value": 35.614035,
        "relative_strength": -9.317972,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.646999,
        "energy": 80.784668,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}