{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "619e3f03-7bed-4caf-b70b-991089dc97cb",
    "symbol": "BSX",
    "name": "Blackstone Minerals Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -34.941,
    "architecture_energy": 15.816,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.021,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.126,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.88,
        "rotation_up": 20.84,
        "upward_expansion": 12.28,
        "deceleration": 41.96,
        "rotation_down": 33.37,
        "downward_expansion": 59.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.041067,
        0.040527,
        0.042676,
        0.0428
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.042,
    "trend_reference": 0.0442,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.049774,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.058147,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.277687,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -20.914991,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.207547,
    "excess_performance": -0.271253,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.049774,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033528,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.277687,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048696,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.20915,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047678,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.207547,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.052434,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3402662,
      "relative_activity": 0.376725,
      "balance": 3.052434,
      "dry_up": 0.664136,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.165751,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.924788,
      "from_high_reference": -0.511628,
      "from_low_reference": 0.5
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.0442,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.058147,
      "structural_low": 0.028,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": -0.068182,
        "positive_rate": 0.292683,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.609756,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050152,
        "regime_survival": 0.853659,
        "best_return": 0.851852,
        "worst_return": -0.444444,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.081281,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.100571,
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        "best_return": 1.111111,
        "worst_return": -0.512501,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.185716,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.258973,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 2.555556,
        "worst_return": -0.5625,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.401788,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.622648,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 9513160.2,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.039,
        "volume": 5667452,
        "typical_volume": 9194282.25,
        "trend": 0.0447,
        "fair_value": 0.058642,
        "relative_strength": -25.019344,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.829667,
        "energy": 25.752413,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0404,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.042,
        "volume": 3402662,
        "typical_volume": 9032210.55,
        "trend": 0.0442,
        "fair_value": 0.058147,
        "relative_strength": -20.914991,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.941177,
        "energy": 15.81571,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}