{ "ticker": { "uuid": "619e53b5-d333-4a97-b4e6-6a4d686df5e9", "symbol": "CTT", "name": "CTT Systems AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 70.492, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.799, "architecture_energy": 29.529, "architecture_maturity": 15.881, "architecture_confidence": 88.64, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.03, "rotation_up": 19.01, "upward_expansion": 4.93, "deceleration": 44.85, "rotation_down": 49.83, "downward_expansion": 73.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 125.800001, 127.069092, 127.663936, 128.709465 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 129.800003, "trend_reference": 132.925379, "distance_from_trend": -0.023512, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 216.839775, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.401401, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.855491, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.107358, "excess_performance": 0.045864, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.023512, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126229, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.401401, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076805, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.298555, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.136764, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.107358, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.291455, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52063, "relative_activity": 0.729525, "balance": 3.291455, "dry_up": 0.680709, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070049, "annualized_volatility": 0.397332, "from_high_reference": -0.509481, "from_low_reference": 0.154804 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 132.925379, "fair_value_reference": 216.839775, "structural_low": 112.400002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.018248, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.35, "median_excess_return": -0.00355, "regime_survival": 0.65, "best_return": 0.131313, "worst_return": -0.127189, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.025701, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 1.4e-05, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.141487, "worst_return": -0.190476, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.063789, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.000622, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.177945, "worst_return": -0.215747, "sufficient": true }, { 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"direction": -55.558095, "energy": 42.264935, "activity_lines": [ 124.399999, 127.738182, 127.679455, 129.767385 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 125.800003, "volume": 41350, "typical_volume": 72821.55, "trend": 134.903806, "fair_value": 217.311835, "relative_strength": -31.608443, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.503639, "energy": 43.612822, "activity_lines": [ 124.360001, 127.083637, 127.455921, 129.038742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 129.800003, "volume": 52063, "typical_volume": 71365.65, "trend": 132.925379, "fair_value": 216.839775, "relative_strength": -29.855491, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.799466, "energy": 29.529142, "activity_lines": [ 125.800001, 127.069092, 127.663936, 128.709465 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }