{ "ticker": { "uuid": "61a4778d-9ddb-4233-8f56-ff7cd443ba1c", "symbol": "603696", "name": "Anji Foodstuff Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.835, "architecture_energy": 44.62, "architecture_maturity": 94.738, "architecture_confidence": 67.349, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.62, "rotation_up": 27.38, "upward_expansion": 18.8, "deceleration": 67.0, "rotation_down": 45.88, "downward_expansion": 71.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.284, 12.098182, 12.897949, 13.909868 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.19, "trend_reference": 15.702064, "distance_from_trend": -0.159983, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.92551, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.207266, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.788627, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.300636, "excess_performance": -0.257432, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.159983, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092876, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.207266, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.308547, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.117886, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126427, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.300636, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.263713, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 146110239, "relative_activity": 4.842041, "balance": 0.263713, "dry_up": 2.345227, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09031, "annualized_volatility": 0.494971, "from_high_reference": -0.55394, "from_low_reference": 0.312438 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.702064, "fair_value_reference": 10.92551, "structural_low": 10.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.015944, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": 0.024717, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.24697, "worst_return": -0.189188, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.21428, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.127526, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.359877, "worst_return": -0.18237, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.04844, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.042518, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.221397, "worst_return": -0.005767, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.418852, "energy": 82.371021, "activity_lines": [ 11.564, 12.150346, 13.413214, 14.684934 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.35, "volume": 30788546, "typical_volume": 21315568.35, "trend": 16.363398, "fair_value": 10.878817, "relative_strength": -28.19613, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.709292, "energy": 74.448553, "activity_lines": [ 11.094, 11.712963, 13.024539, 14.27579 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.44, "volume": 79702599, "typical_volume": 23961681.0, "trend": 15.938398, "fair_value": 10.903972, "relative_strength": -7.417891, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.634214, "energy": 61.018411, "activity_lines": [ 11.788667, 11.921368, 12.965387, 14.087184 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.19, "volume": 146110239, "typical_volume": 30175340.45, "trend": 15.702064, "fair_value": 10.92551, "relative_strength": -11.788627, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.835325, "energy": 44.619783, "activity_lines": [ 12.284, 12.098182, 12.897949, 13.909868 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }