{ "ticker": { "uuid": "61bf74a9-10d2-4ba3-a56e-d408464ab1e4", "symbol": "XHLF", "name": "BONDBLOXX ETF TRUST BLOOMBERG SIX MNTH TRGT DRTN US TRSY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.969, "architecture_energy": 85.121, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 72.065, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.8, "rotation_up": 71.77, "upward_expansion": 90.92, "deceleration": 48.62, "rotation_down": 18.5, "downward_expansion": 17.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.144952, 50.115476, 50.067554, 50.010539 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 50.21, "trend_reference": 49.916615, "distance_from_trend": 0.005877, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.569461, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.055509, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.872389, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.010816, "excess_performance": -0.114809, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005877, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00484, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.055509, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005177, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.098724, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00062, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.010816, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 10.925063, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2334136, "relative_activity": 1.20907, "balance": 10.925063, "dry_up": 0.752529, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.001068, "annualized_volatility": 0.005849, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.031407 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.916615, "fair_value_reference": 47.569461, "structural_low": 49.662869, 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"volume": 1377576, "typical_volume": 2003608.8, "trend": 49.852151, "fair_value": 47.454578, "relative_strength": -7.301527, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.012545, "energy": 60.563211, "activity_lines": [ 50.07244, 50.06679, 50.019736, 49.956222 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.09548, "volume": 677670, "typical_volume": 1909408.85, "trend": 49.872769, "fair_value": 47.492811, "relative_strength": -6.506669, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.565638, "energy": 54.512041, "activity_lines": [ 50.077831, 50.075262, 50.031701, 49.971921 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.155295, "volume": 1421717, "typical_volume": 1878946.4, "trend": 49.893945, "fair_value": 47.531102, "relative_strength": -7.114896, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.73851, "energy": 68.843814, "activity_lines": [ 50.102791, 50.09192, 50.047866, 49.990148 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.21, "volume": 2334136, "typical_volume": 1930522.4, "trend": 49.916615, "fair_value": 47.569461, "relative_strength": -9.872389, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.969369, "energy": 85.121429, "activity_lines": [ 50.144952, 50.115476, 50.067554, 50.010539 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }