{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "61f9b39f-f0fc-4191-bfb5-58b9ca5c6f37",
    "symbol": "ZLU",
    "name": "BMO Low Volatility US Equity ETF (CAD)",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 67.705,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.519,
    "architecture_energy": 41.915,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.755,
    "architecture_confidence": 51.464,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.45,
        "rotation_up": 46.36,
        "upward_expansion": 74.96,
        "deceleration": 68.59,
        "rotation_down": 27.13,
        "downward_expansion": 10.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        64.772001,
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        63.695868,
        62.987457
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 65.160004,
    "trend_reference": 62.099036,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.049292,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 55.164267,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.181199,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.299307,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.07001,
    "excess_performance": -0.050412,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049292,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02586,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181199,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053728,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052993,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043398,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07001,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.906865,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 62000,
      "relative_activity": 1.508332,
      "balance": 0.906865,
      "dry_up": 1.59348,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02439,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.135595,
      "from_high_reference": -0.022795,
      "from_low_reference": 0.149297
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 62.099036,
      "fair_value_reference": 55.164267,
      "structural_low": 59.053828,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.001195,
        "positive_rate": 0.525,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.525,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003616,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.060636,
        "worst_return": -0.055521,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "relative_strength": -10.875474,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 18.086515,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 56025.5,
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 55493.25,
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        "relative_strength": -10.768925,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 55061.55,
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        "relative_strength": -9.639125,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 57065.0,
        "trend": 60.44702,
        "fair_value": 53.871395,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 62.867931,
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        "typical_volume": 54795.0,
        "trend": 60.628086,
        "fair_value": 54.086861,
        "relative_strength": -5.737501,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.777866,
        "energy": 69.355758,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 9500,
        "typical_volume": 52670.0,
        "trend": 60.716818,
        "fair_value": 54.200833,
        "relative_strength": -5.836471,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 77.819554,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -6.97679,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 47155.0,
        "trend": 60.882884,
        "fair_value": 54.435575,
        "relative_strength": -3.635169,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.036424,
        "energy": 83.603449,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.531829,
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          61.555758
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 66.68,
        "volume": 13900,
        "typical_volume": 39055.0,
        "trend": 61.118911,
        "fair_value": 54.571961,
        "relative_strength": -1.361156,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 65.25,
        "volume": 69200,
        "typical_volume": 40370.0,
        "trend": 61.303822,
        "fair_value": 54.696966,
        "relative_strength": -3.405021,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.259047,
        "energy": 85.862611,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.078173,
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          62.794008,
          62.196287
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 63.91,
        "volume": 102300,
        "typical_volume": 41575.0,
        "trend": 61.444929,
        "fair_value": 54.806931,
        "relative_strength": -5.020768,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.802216,
        "energy": 73.747952,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.852587,
          64.216415,
          62.965497,
          62.364428
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 65.010002,
        "volume": 42200,
        "typical_volume": 41855.0,
        "trend": 61.620462,
        "fair_value": 54.926161,
        "relative_strength": -3.415498,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.641258,
        "energy": 59.865929,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.971334,
          64.470875,
          63.238681,
          62.594433
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 64.419998,
        "volume": 55500,
        "typical_volume": 41960.0,
        "trend": 61.867658,
        "fair_value": 55.044582,
        "relative_strength": -3.609034,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.245404,
        "energy": 44.211486,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.736667,
          64.552317,
          63.439453,
          62.775048
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 65.160004,
        "volume": 62000,
        "typical_volume": 41105.0,
        "trend": 62.099036,
        "fair_value": 55.164267,
        "relative_strength": -5.299307,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.518954,
        "energy": 41.915012,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.772001,
          64.741897,
          63.695868,
          62.987457
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}