{ "ticker": { "uuid": "61fafc32-7897-49b3-babd-d2f2dc628bd7", "symbol": "CLIQ", "name": "Cliq Digital AG", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 77.516, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.515, "architecture_energy": 52.77, "architecture_maturity": 79.73, "architecture_confidence": 82.414, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.93, "rotation_up": 46.7, "upward_expansion": 74.7, "deceleration": 88.65, "rotation_down": 29.9, "downward_expansion": 19.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.664, 3.660727, 3.626119, 3.383329 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.67, "trend_reference": 2.973767, "distance_from_trend": 0.234125, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.782372, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.528421, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 28.845281, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.099542, "excess_performance": 1.034903, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.234125, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.297983, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.528421, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088829, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.288453, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115448, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.099542, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.528548, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6414, "relative_activity": 0.220964, "balance": 3.528548, "dry_up": 0.323505, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040243, "annualized_volatility": 0.818343, "from_high_reference": -0.046753, "from_low_reference": 1.698529 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.973767, "fair_value_reference": 7.782372, "structural_low": 1.36, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.220228, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.19259, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.210983, "worst_return": -0.229474, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.111466, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.180992, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.086316, "worst_return": -0.309249, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.057737, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.071415, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.248421, "worst_return": -0.132948, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.01243, "energy": 56.362855, "activity_lines": [ 3.636667, 3.648909, 3.546748, 3.218669 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.61, "volume": 10843, "typical_volume": 49484.7, "trend": 2.824433, "fair_value": 8.013943, "relative_strength": 31.921085, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.308989, "energy": 55.1019, "activity_lines": [ 3.624667, 3.640909, 3.575095, 3.274181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.75, "volume": 7232, "typical_volume": 34400.05, "trend": 2.903767, "fair_value": 7.890686, "relative_strength": 35.770932, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.005369, "energy": 64.973342, "activity_lines": [ 3.660667, 3.658909, 3.606976, 3.333895 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.67, "volume": 6414, "typical_volume": 29027.35, "trend": 2.973767, "fair_value": 7.782372, "relative_strength": 28.845281, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.514529, "energy": 52.769655, "activity_lines": [ 3.664, 3.660727, 3.626119, 3.383329 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }