{ "ticker": { "uuid": "61fdeab6-0dee-4ab9-a4c3-9716b9410ffb", "symbol": "002636", "name": "Goldenmax International Group Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 22.18, "architecture_energy": 33.393, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.748, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.9, "rotation_up": 20.0, "upward_expansion": 56.51, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 46.92, "downward_expansion": 24.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 64.124001, 77.329637, 71.126842, 61.830337 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 65.400002, "trend_reference": 49.416741, "distance_from_trend": 0.323438, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.904369, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.868822, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 90.935304, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.575338, "excess_performance": 1.567938, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.323438, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.809757, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.868822, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.301259, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.909353, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.291648, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.575338, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.971802, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 309803061, "relative_activity": 1.567911, "balance": 0.971802, "dry_up": 1.334548, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.249586, "annualized_volatility": 1.066761, "from_high_reference": -0.448567, "from_low_reference": 4.828275 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.416741, "fair_value_reference": 16.904369, "structural_low": 22.960987, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.048152, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.054528, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.342857, "worst_return": -0.123018, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.072339, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.099966, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.364082, "worst_return": -0.020202, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.3819, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.365442, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.933061, "worst_return": -0.25308, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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218139599, "typical_volume": 196914150.45, "trend": 47.792313, "fair_value": 16.54542, "relative_strength": 60.918211, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.782458, "energy": 28.459281, "activity_lines": [ 68.518667, 80.184363, 70.612462, 60.694357 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 65.400002, "volume": 309803061, "typical_volume": 197589666.05, "trend": 49.416741, "fair_value": 16.904369, "relative_strength": 90.935304, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.179788, "energy": 33.393126, "activity_lines": [ 64.124001, 77.329637, 71.126842, 61.830337 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }